Trade Amon-Ra St. Brown for Javonte Williams? No, Brown is worth 33 more.
No on value. Amon-Ra St. Brown is worth 119 rest of season and Javonte Williams 86, so giving up Brown costs 33. Brown rates 19.9 market points a game with 11 games left, Williams 15.7 with 11. On usage, Brown has drawn 29 percent of DET targets; Williams has 66 percent of DAL carries and 12 percent of its targets. Brown is on bye in Week 6; Williams is at GB in Week 6 (2nd most points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Amon-Ra St. Brown wins by 33.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 19.9
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 19.9 | 18.7 | 20.4 |
- Pts/game
- 15.7
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 14
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 15.7 | 14.6 | 17.3 |
Where the values come from
Brown is the 2nd receiver on the chart and 6th overall. His 19.9 a game is 10.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 119.
Williams is the 13th running back on the chart and 19th overall. His 15.7 a game is 7.8 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 86.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Amon-Ra St. Brown at 19.9 in Week 3, 18.7 in Week 4 and 20.4 in Week 5, a median of 19.9 points a game, up 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Javonte Williams at 15.7 in Week 3, 14.6 in Week 4 and 17.3 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 1.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored 104.2 PPR points in 5 games, 20.8 a game, 0.9 a game more than the 19.9 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR3 with 324.0 PPR points in 17 games, 19.1 a game.
Week 1 vs NO: 28.7 points (WR4 that week), 10 of 14 targets for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns, 90 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs BUF: 35.2 points (WR4 that week), 9 of 13 targets for 142 yards, 2 touchdowns, 95 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs NYJ: 11.9 points (WR36 that week), 4 of 8 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 74 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs CAR: 15.5 points (WR20 that week), 8 of 11 targets for 75 yards, 96 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs ARI: 12.9 points (WR21 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 69 yards.
Javonte Williams has scored 96.0 PPR points in 5 games, 19.2 a game, 3.5 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB12 with 242.8 PPR points in 16 games, 15.2 a game.
Week 1 vs NYG: 24.2 points (RB9 that week), 41 rushing yards on 12 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 31 yards, 2 touchdowns, 71 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs WAS: 8.0 points (RB34 that week), 30 rushing yards on 12 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 20 yards, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs BAL: 18.3 points (RB10 that week), 98 rushing yards on 19 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs HOU: 31.3 points (RB2 that week), 62 rushing yards on 19 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 21 yards, 3 touchdowns, 74 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB15 that week), 45 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 11.5 targets and 7.8 catches for 76 yards a game on 89 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 12 times inside the 20, 21 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against CAR he had 11 targets on 96 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Javonte Williams has averaged 15.5 carries for 58 yards and 4.3 targets and 3.8 catches for 19 yards a game on 75 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 22 times inside the 20, 46 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against HOU he had 19 carries and 5 targets on 74 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Amon-Ra St. Brown has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Javonte Williams has 11 games with his bye in Week 14.
GB, Williams's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 29.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 2nd most to RBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Javonte Williams would want about 33 more added to make it even: a player like Lamar Jackson, valued at 33. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Amon-Ra St. Brown and Javonte Williams
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Bijan Robinson119 vs 154
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Kenneth Walker119 vs 145
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jaxon Smith-Njigba119 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jonathan Taylor119 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Derrick Henry119 vs 115- Javonte Williams for Jaxon Smith-Njigba86 vs 120
- Javonte Williams for Jonathan Taylor86 vs 120
- Derrick Henry for Javonte Williams115 vs 86
Christian McCaffrey for Javonte Williams114 vs 86
Javonte Williams for Jaylen Warren86 vs 102
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Amon-Ra St. Brown for Javonte Williams?
No on value: Amon-Ra St. Brown is worth 119 and Javonte Williams 86, a loss of 33. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Brown.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Amon-Ra St. Brown or Javonte Williams?
Amon-Ra St. Brown, 119 to 86. He rates 19.9 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Javonte Williams, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number