Should I trade Derrick Henry for Javonte Williams?

No on value: Derrick Henry is worth 115 and Javonte Williams 86, a loss of 29. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Henry.

Who has more rest-of-season value, Derrick Henry or Javonte Williams?

Derrick Henry, 115 to 86. He rates 18.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Javonte Williams, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

How are these trade values calculated?

Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

Trade Derrick Henry for Javonte Williams? No, Henry is worth 29 more.

No on value. Derrick Henry is worth 115 rest of season and Javonte Williams 86, so giving up Henry costs 29. Henry rates 18.4 market points a game with 11 games left, Williams 15.7 with 11. On usage, Henry has 73 percent of BAL carries and 7 percent of its targets; Williams has 66 percent of DAL carries and 12 percent of its targets. Henry is at CLE in Week 6 (5th fewest points allowed to RBs); Williams is at GB in Week 6 (2nd most points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Derrick Henry wins by 29.

Derrick Henry 11586 Javonte Williams

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Derrick Henry

RB5BAL

115

value, #7

Pts/game: 18.4
Games left: 11
Bye: 13

Derrick Henry weekly market-based points
Wk 3	Wk 4	Wk 5
18.4	18.6	15.6

Javonte Williams

RB13DAL

value, #19

Pts/game: 15.7
Games left: 11
Bye: 14

Javonte Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3	Wk 4	Wk 5
15.7	14.6	17.3

Where the values come from

Henry is the 5th running back on the chart and 7th overall. His 18.4 a game is 10.5 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 115.

Williams is the 13th running back on the chart and 19th overall. His 15.7 a game is 7.8 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 86.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Derrick Henry at 18.4 in Week 3, 18.6 in Week 4 and 15.6 in Week 5, a median of 18.4 points a game, down 2.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Javonte Williams at 15.7 in Week 3, 14.6 in Week 4 and 17.3 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 1.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Points so far against the price

Derrick Henry has scored 111.8 PPR points in 5 games, 22.4 a game, 4.0 a game more than the 18.4 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB8 with 279.5 PPR points in 17 games, 16.4 a game.

Week 1 vs IND: 35.3 points (RB1 that week), 144 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 1 target for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 54 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NO: 17.7 points (RB6 that week), 68 rushing yards on 16 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 53 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DAL: 21.9 points (RB4 that week), 89 rushing yards on 26 carries, 1 of 1 target for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TEN: 15.9 points (RB21 that week), 73 rushing yards on 23 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 63 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs ATL: 21.0 points (RB4 that week), 102 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Javonte Williams has scored 96.0 PPR points in 5 games, 19.2 a game, 3.5 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB12 with 242.8 PPR points in 16 games, 15.2 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 24.2 points (RB9 that week), 41 rushing yards on 12 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 31 yards, 2 touchdowns, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 8.0 points (RB34 that week), 30 rushing yards on 12 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 20 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 18.3 points (RB10 that week), 98 rushing yards on 19 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 31.3 points (RB2 that week), 62 rushing yards on 19 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 21 yards, 3 touchdowns, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB15 that week), 45 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Derrick Henry has averaged 22.3 carries for 94 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.8 catches for 11 yards a game on 59 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 23 times inside the 20, 55 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 7 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against TEN he had 23 carries and 2 targets on 63 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Javonte Williams has averaged 15.5 carries for 58 yards and 4.3 targets and 3.8 catches for 19 yards a game on 75 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 22 times inside the 20, 46 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against HOU he had 19 carries and 5 targets on 74 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Derrick Henry has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Javonte Williams has 11 games with his bye in Week 14.

CLE, Henry's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.7 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th fewest to RBs of 32.

GB, Williams's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 29.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 2nd most to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Javonte Williams would want about 29 more added to make it even: a player like DK Metcalf, valued at 30. Two players for Henry also costs that side a roster spot.

DK Metcalf's player page

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

Should I trade Derrick Henry for Javonte Williams?
No on value: Derrick Henry is worth 115 and Javonte Williams 86, a loss of 29. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Henry.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Derrick Henry or Javonte Williams?
Derrick Henry, 115 to 86. He rates 18.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Javonte Williams, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is built Report a wrong number