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Trade Javonte Williams for Jaylen Warren? Yes, Warren is worth 16 more.

Yes on value. Jaylen Warren is worth 102 rest of season and Javonte Williams 86, so the side getting Warren gains 16. Williams rates 15.7 market points a game with 11 games left, Warren 17.2 with 11. On usage, Williams has 66 percent of DAL carries and 12 percent of its targets; Warren has 68 percent of PIT carries and 14 percent of its targets. Williams is at GB in Week 6 (2nd most points allowed to RBs); Warren is at TB in Week 6 (9th fewest points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Getting Jaylen Warren wins by 16.

Javonte Williams 86102 Jaylen Warren

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86

value, #19

Pts/game
15.7
Games left
11
Bye
14
Javonte Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
15.714.617.3

102

value, #9

Pts/game
17.2
Games left
11
Bye
9
Jaylen Warren weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
12.217.717.2

Where the values come from

Williams is the 13th running back on the chart and 19th overall. His 15.7 a game is 7.8 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 86.

Warren is the 7th running back on the chart and 9th overall. His 17.2 a game is 9.3 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 102.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Javonte Williams at 15.7 in Week 3, 14.6 in Week 4 and 17.3 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 1.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Jaylen Warren at 12.2 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, up 5.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Javonte Williams has scored 96.0 PPR points in 5 games, 19.2 a game, 3.5 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB12 with 242.8 PPR points in 16 games, 15.2 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 24.2 points (RB9 that week), 41 rushing yards on 12 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 31 yards, 2 touchdowns, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 8.0 points (RB34 that week), 30 rushing yards on 12 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 20 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 18.3 points (RB10 that week), 98 rushing yards on 19 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 31.3 points (RB2 that week), 62 rushing yards on 19 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 21 yards, 3 touchdowns, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB15 that week), 45 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylen Warren has scored 93.0 PPR points in 5 games, 18.6 a game, 1.4 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB17 with 217.1 PPR points in 16 games, 13.6 a game.

Week 1 vs ATL: 10.3 points (RB25 that week), 46 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 27 yards, 37 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NE: 9.7 points (RB26 that week), 43 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 34 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CIN: 20.6 points (RB8 that week), 127 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 49 yards, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CLE: 15.6 points (RB22 that week), 93 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 33 yards, 97 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs IND: 36.8 points (RB2 that week), 101 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 6 targets for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Javonte Williams has averaged 15.5 carries for 58 yards and 4.3 targets and 3.8 catches for 19 yards a game on 75 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 22 times inside the 20, 46 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against HOU he had 19 carries and 5 targets on 74 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Jaylen Warren has averaged 13.8 carries for 77 yards and 5.0 targets and 3.3 catches for 36 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 29 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.

In Week 4 against CLE he had 17 carries and 6 targets on 97 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Javonte Williams has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Jaylen Warren has 11 games with his bye in Week 9.

GB, Williams's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 29.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 2nd most to RBs of 32.

TB, Warren's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 9th fewest to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Javonte Williams would want about 16 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 17. Two players for Warren also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Javonte Williams for Jaylen Warren?

    Yes on value: Jaylen Warren is worth 102 and Javonte Williams 86, a gain of 16. If Javonte Williams starts for you and Jaylen Warren would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Javonte Williams or Jaylen Warren?

    Jaylen Warren, 102 to 86. He rates 17.2 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Javonte Williams, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number