Trade Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jaylen Warren? No, Brown is worth 17 more.
No on value. Amon-Ra St. Brown is worth 119 rest of season and Jaylen Warren 102, so giving up Brown costs 17. Brown rates 19.9 market points a game with 11 games left, Warren 17.2 with 11. On usage, Brown has drawn 29 percent of DET targets; Warren has 68 percent of PIT carries and 14 percent of its targets. Brown is on bye in Week 6; Warren is at TB in Week 6 (9th fewest points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Amon-Ra St. Brown wins by 17.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 19.9
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 19.9 | 18.7 | 20.4 |
- Pts/game
- 17.2
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 9
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 12.2 | 17.7 | 17.2 |
Where the values come from
Brown is the 2nd receiver on the chart and 6th overall. His 19.9 a game is 10.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 119.
Warren is the 7th running back on the chart and 9th overall. His 17.2 a game is 9.3 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 102.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Amon-Ra St. Brown at 19.9 in Week 3, 18.7 in Week 4 and 20.4 in Week 5, a median of 19.9 points a game, up 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Jaylen Warren at 12.2 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, up 5.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored 104.2 PPR points in 5 games, 20.8 a game, 0.9 a game more than the 19.9 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR3 with 324.0 PPR points in 17 games, 19.1 a game.
Week 1 vs NO: 28.7 points (WR4 that week), 10 of 14 targets for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns, 90 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs BUF: 35.2 points (WR4 that week), 9 of 13 targets for 142 yards, 2 touchdowns, 95 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs NYJ: 11.9 points (WR36 that week), 4 of 8 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 74 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs CAR: 15.5 points (WR20 that week), 8 of 11 targets for 75 yards, 96 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs ARI: 12.9 points (WR21 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 69 yards.
Jaylen Warren has scored 93.0 PPR points in 5 games, 18.6 a game, 1.4 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB17 with 217.1 PPR points in 16 games, 13.6 a game.
Week 1 vs ATL: 10.3 points (RB25 that week), 46 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 27 yards, 37 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs NE: 9.7 points (RB26 that week), 43 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 34 yards, 71 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs CIN: 20.6 points (RB8 that week), 127 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 49 yards, 90 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs CLE: 15.6 points (RB22 that week), 93 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 33 yards, 97 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs IND: 36.8 points (RB2 that week), 101 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 6 targets for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 11.5 targets and 7.8 catches for 76 yards a game on 89 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 12 times inside the 20, 21 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against CAR he had 11 targets on 96 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Jaylen Warren has averaged 13.8 carries for 77 yards and 5.0 targets and 3.3 catches for 36 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 29 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.
In Week 4 against CLE he had 17 carries and 6 targets on 97 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Amon-Ra St. Brown has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Jaylen Warren has 11 games with his bye in Week 9.
TB, Warren's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 9th fewest to RBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Jaylen Warren would want about 17 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 17. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jaylen Warren
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Bijan Robinson119 vs 154
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Kenneth Walker119 vs 145
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jaxon Smith-Njigba119 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jonathan Taylor119 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Derrick Henry119 vs 115- Jaylen Warren for Kenneth Walker102 vs 145
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Jaylen Warren120 vs 102
- Jaylen Warren for Jonathan Taylor102 vs 120
- Derrick Henry for Jaylen Warren115 vs 102
Christian McCaffrey for Jaylen Warren114 vs 102
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jaylen Warren?
No on value: Amon-Ra St. Brown is worth 119 and Jaylen Warren 102, a loss of 17. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Brown.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Amon-Ra St. Brown or Jaylen Warren?
Amon-Ra St. Brown, 119 to 102. He rates 19.9 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.2 over 11 for Jaylen Warren, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number