Trade Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Jaylen Warren? No, Smith-Njigba is worth 18 more.
No on value. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is worth 120 rest of season and Jaylen Warren 102, so giving up Smith-Njigba costs 18. Smith-Njigba rates 20.0 market points a game with 11 games left, Warren 17.2 with 11. On usage, Smith-Njigba has drawn 37 percent of SEA targets; Warren has 68 percent of PIT carries and 14 percent of its targets. Smith-Njigba is at DEN in Week 6 (9th fewest points allowed to WRs); Warren is at TB in Week 6 (9th fewest points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins by 18.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 20.0
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 11
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 19.8 | 20.1 | 20.0 |
- Pts/game
- 17.2
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 9
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 12.2 | 17.7 | 17.2 |
Where the values come from
Smith-Njigba is the 1st receiver on the chart and 4th overall. His 20.0 a game is 10.9 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 120.
Warren is the 7th running back on the chart and 9th overall. His 17.2 a game is 9.3 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 102.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 19.8 in Week 3, 20.1 in Week 4 and 20.0 in Week 5, a median of 20.0 points a game, flat across them.
The market priced Jaylen Warren at 12.2 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, up 5.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has scored 139.5 PPR points in 5 games, 27.9 a game, 7.9 a game more than the 20.0 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR2 with 359.9 PPR points in 17 games, 21.2 a game.
Week 1 vs NE: 26.2 points (WR6 that week), 8 of 11 targets for 122 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs ARI: 42.5 points (WR1 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 155 yards, 3 touchdowns, 67 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs WAS: 35.4 points (WR1 that week), 10 of 14 targets for 128 yards, 2 touchdowns, 87 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs LAC: 12.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 76 yards, 88 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs SF: 22.8 points (WR7 that week), 16 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 8 targets for 102 yards, 1 touchdown.
Jaylen Warren has scored 93.0 PPR points in 5 games, 18.6 a game, 1.4 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB17 with 217.1 PPR points in 16 games, 13.6 a game.
Week 1 vs ATL: 10.3 points (RB25 that week), 46 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 27 yards, 37 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs NE: 9.7 points (RB26 that week), 43 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 34 yards, 71 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs CIN: 20.6 points (RB8 that week), 127 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 49 yards, 90 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs CLE: 15.6 points (RB22 that week), 93 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 33 yards, 97 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs IND: 36.8 points (RB2 that week), 101 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 6 targets for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has averaged 10.5 targets and 8.0 catches for 120 yards a game on 82 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 22 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against LAC he had 6 targets on 88 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Jaylen Warren has averaged 13.8 carries for 77 yards and 5.0 targets and 3.3 catches for 36 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 29 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.
In Week 4 against CLE he had 17 carries and 6 targets on 97 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Jaylen Warren has 11 games with his bye in Week 9.
DEN, Smith-Njigba's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 28.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th fewest to WRs of 32.
TB, Warren's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 9th fewest to RBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Jaylen Warren would want about 18 more added to make it even: a player like Patrick Mahomes, valued at 18. Two players for Smith-Njigba also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Jaylen Warren
Bijan Robinson for Jaxon Smith-Njigba154 vs 120
Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Kenneth Walker120 vs 145
Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Jonathan Taylor120 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jaxon Smith-Njigba119 vs 120
Derrick Henry for Jaxon Smith-Njigba115 vs 120- Jaylen Warren for Kenneth Walker102 vs 145
- Jaylen Warren for Jonathan Taylor102 vs 120
- Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jaylen Warren119 vs 102
- Derrick Henry for Jaylen Warren115 vs 102
Christian McCaffrey for Jaylen Warren114 vs 102
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Jaylen Warren?
No on value: Jaxon Smith-Njigba is worth 120 and Jaylen Warren 102, a loss of 18. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Smith-Njigba.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Jaylen Warren?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 120 to 102. He rates 20.0 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.2 over 11 for Jaylen Warren, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number