Trade Christian McCaffrey for Jaylen Warren? No, McCaffrey is worth 12 more.
No on value. Christian McCaffrey is worth 114 rest of season and Jaylen Warren 102, so giving up McCaffrey costs 12. McCaffrey rates 18.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Warren 17.2 with 11. On usage, McCaffrey has 45 percent of SF carries and 20 percent of its targets; Warren has 68 percent of PIT carries and 14 percent of its targets. McCaffrey hosts WAS in Week 6 (4th fewest points allowed to RBs); Warren is at TB in Week 6 (9th fewest points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Christian McCaffrey wins by 12.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 18.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 8
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8 | 20.8 | 18.3 |
- Pts/game
- 17.2
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 9
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 12.2 | 17.7 | 17.2 |
Where the values come from
McCaffrey is the 6th running back on the chart and 8th overall. His 18.3 a game is 10.4 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 114.
Warren is the 7th running back on the chart and 9th overall. His 17.2 a game is 9.3 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 102.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Christian McCaffrey at 12.8 in Week 3, 20.8 in Week 4 and 18.3 in Week 5, a median of 18.3 points a game, up 5.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Jaylen Warren at 12.2 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, up 5.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Christian McCaffrey has scored 91.3 PPR points in 5 games, 18.3 a game, level with the 18.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB1 with 416.6 PPR points in 17 games, 24.5 a game.
Week 1 vs LAR: 13.8 points (RB19 that week), 68 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 8 targets for 20 yards, 55 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs MIA: 22.6 points (RB4 that week), 23 rushing yards on 10 carries, 4 of 4 targets for 43 yards, 2 touchdowns, 52 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs ARI: 21.6 points (RB6 that week), 75 rushing yards on 15 carries, 4 of 5 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 83 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs DEN: 16.0 points (RB20 that week), 52 rushing yards on 15 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 74 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs SEA: 17.3 points (RB8 that week), 68 rushing yards on 11 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.
Jaylen Warren has scored 93.0 PPR points in 5 games, 18.6 a game, 1.4 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB17 with 217.1 PPR points in 16 games, 13.6 a game.
Week 1 vs ATL: 10.3 points (RB25 that week), 46 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 27 yards, 37 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs NE: 9.7 points (RB26 that week), 43 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 34 yards, 71 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs CIN: 20.6 points (RB8 that week), 127 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 49 yards, 90 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs CLE: 15.6 points (RB22 that week), 93 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 33 yards, 97 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs IND: 36.8 points (RB2 that week), 101 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 6 targets for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Christian McCaffrey has averaged 12.5 carries for 55 yards and 5.5 targets and 4.0 catches for 31 yards a game on 66 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 15 times inside the 20, 35 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against DEN he had 15 carries and 5 targets on 74 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Jaylen Warren has averaged 13.8 carries for 77 yards and 5.0 targets and 3.3 catches for 36 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 29 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.
In Week 4 against CLE he had 17 carries and 6 targets on 97 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Christian McCaffrey has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Jaylen Warren has 11 games with his bye in Week 9.
WAS, McCaffrey's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.1 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 4th fewest to RBs of 32.
TB, Warren's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 9th fewest to RBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Jaylen Warren would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Tucker Kraft, valued at 12. Two players for McCaffrey also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Christian McCaffrey and Jaylen Warren
Bijan Robinson for Christian McCaffrey154 vs 114
Christian McCaffrey for Kenneth Walker114 vs 145
Christian McCaffrey for Jaxon Smith-Njigba114 vs 120
Christian McCaffrey for Jonathan Taylor114 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Christian McCaffrey119 vs 114- Jaylen Warren for Kenneth Walker102 vs 145
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Jaylen Warren120 vs 102
- Jaylen Warren for Jonathan Taylor102 vs 120
- Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jaylen Warren119 vs 102
Derrick Henry for Jaylen Warren115 vs 102
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Christian McCaffrey for Jaylen Warren?
No on value: Christian McCaffrey is worth 114 and Jaylen Warren 102, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs McCaffrey.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian McCaffrey or Jaylen Warren?
Christian McCaffrey, 114 to 102. He rates 18.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.2 over 11 for Jaylen Warren, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number