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Trade Chase Brown for Jaylen Warren? Yes, Warren is worth 12 more.

Yes on value. Jaylen Warren is worth 102 rest of season and Chase Brown 90, so the side getting Warren gains 12. Brown rates 16.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Warren 17.2 with 11. On usage, Brown has 72 percent of CIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Warren has 68 percent of PIT carries and 14 percent of its targets. Brown is on bye in Week 6; Warren is at TB in Week 6 (9th fewest points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Getting Jaylen Warren wins by 12.

Chase Brown 90102 Jaylen Warren

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90

value, #16

Pts/game
16.1
Games left
11
Bye
6
Chase Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
16.117.412.0

102

value, #9

Pts/game
17.2
Games left
11
Bye
9
Jaylen Warren weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
12.217.717.2

Where the values come from

Brown is the 11th running back on the chart and 16th overall. His 16.1 a game is 8.2 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 90.

Warren is the 7th running back on the chart and 9th overall. His 17.2 a game is 9.3 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 102.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Chase Brown at 16.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 12.0 in Week 5, a median of 16.1 points a game, down 4.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Jaylen Warren at 12.2 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, up 5.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Chase Brown has scored 65.0 PPR points in 5 games, 13.0 a game, 3.1 a game less than the 16.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB7 with 282.6 PPR points in 17 games, 16.6 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 18.8 points (RB14 that week), 56 rushing yards on 16 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 11.2 points (RB19 that week), 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 2 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 8.9 points (RB33 that week), 61 rushing yards on 13 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 19.1 points (RB13 that week), 10 rushing yards on 9 carries, 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 7.0 points (RB31 that week), 39 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards.

Jaylen Warren has scored 93.0 PPR points in 5 games, 18.6 a game, 1.4 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB17 with 217.1 PPR points in 16 games, 13.6 a game.

Week 1 vs ATL: 10.3 points (RB25 that week), 46 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 27 yards, 37 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NE: 9.7 points (RB26 that week), 43 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 34 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CIN: 20.6 points (RB8 that week), 127 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 49 yards, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CLE: 15.6 points (RB22 that week), 93 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 33 yards, 97 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs IND: 36.8 points (RB2 that week), 101 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 6 targets for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Chase Brown has averaged 14.5 carries for 52 yards and 6.0 targets and 5.3 catches for 26 yards a game on 73 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 26 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against JAX he had 9 carries and 11 targets on 79 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Jaylen Warren has averaged 13.8 carries for 77 yards and 5.0 targets and 3.3 catches for 36 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 29 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.

In Week 4 against CLE he had 17 carries and 6 targets on 97 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Chase Brown has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Jaylen Warren has 11 games with his bye in Week 9.

TB, Warren's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 9th fewest to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Chase Brown would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Tucker Kraft, valued at 12. Two players for Warren also costs that side a roster spot.

Tucker Kraft's player page

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Chase Brown for Jaylen Warren?

    Yes on value: Jaylen Warren is worth 102 and Chase Brown 90, a gain of 12. If Chase Brown starts for you and Jaylen Warren would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Chase Brown or Jaylen Warren?

    Jaylen Warren, 102 to 90. He rates 17.2 market points a game over 11 games left, against 16.1 over 11 for Chase Brown, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number