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Trade Chase Brown for Nico Collins? No, Brown is worth 17 more.

No on value. Chase Brown is worth 90 rest of season and Nico Collins 73, so giving up Brown costs 17. Brown rates 16.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Collins 15.7 with 11. On usage, Brown has 72 percent of CIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets. Brown is on bye in Week 6; Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Chase Brown wins by 17.

Chase Brown 9073 Nico Collins

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Chase Brown

RB11CIN

90

value, #16

Pts/game
16.1
Games left
11
Bye
6
Chase Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
16.117.412.0

Nico Collins

WR9HOU

73

value, #25

Pts/game
15.7
Games left
11
Bye
8
Nico Collins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
2.815.716.7

Where the values come from

Brown is the 11th running back on the chart and 16th overall. His 16.1 a game is 8.2 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 90.

Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Chase Brown at 16.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 12.0 in Week 5, a median of 16.1 points a game, down 4.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Chase Brown has scored 65.0 PPR points in 5 games, 13.0 a game, 3.1 a game less than the 16.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB7 with 282.6 PPR points in 17 games, 16.6 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 18.8 points (RB14 that week), 56 rushing yards on 16 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 11.2 points (RB19 that week), 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 2 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 8.9 points (RB33 that week), 61 rushing yards on 13 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 19.1 points (RB13 that week), 10 rushing yards on 9 carries, 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 7.0 points (RB31 that week), 39 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards.

Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Chase Brown has averaged 14.5 carries for 52 yards and 6.0 targets and 5.3 catches for 26 yards a game on 73 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 26 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against JAX he had 9 carries and 11 targets on 79 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.

In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Chase Brown has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Nico Collins has 11 games with his bye in Week 8.

JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Nico Collins would want about 17 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 17. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for Chase Brown and Nico Collins

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Chase Brown for Nico Collins?

    No on value: Chase Brown is worth 90 and Nico Collins 73, a loss of 17. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Brown.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Chase Brown or Nico Collins?

    Chase Brown, 90 to 73. He rates 16.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Nico Collins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number