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Trade Jaylen Warren for Nico Collins? No, Warren is worth 29 more.

No on value. Jaylen Warren is worth 102 rest of season and Nico Collins 73, so giving up Warren costs 29. Warren rates 17.2 market points a game with 11 games left, Collins 15.7 with 11. On usage, Warren has 68 percent of PIT carries and 14 percent of its targets; Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets. Warren is at TB in Week 6 (9th fewest points allowed to RBs); Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Jaylen Warren wins by 29.

Jaylen Warren 10273 Nico Collins

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Jaylen Warren

RB7PIT

102

value, #9

Pts/game
17.2
Games left
11
Bye
9
Jaylen Warren weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
12.217.717.2

Nico Collins

WR9HOU

73

value, #25

Pts/game
15.7
Games left
11
Bye
8
Nico Collins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
2.815.716.7

Where the values come from

Warren is the 7th running back on the chart and 9th overall. His 17.2 a game is 9.3 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 102.

Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Jaylen Warren at 12.2 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, up 5.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Jaylen Warren has scored 93.0 PPR points in 5 games, 18.6 a game, 1.4 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB17 with 217.1 PPR points in 16 games, 13.6 a game.

Week 1 vs ATL: 10.3 points (RB25 that week), 46 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 27 yards, 37 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NE: 9.7 points (RB26 that week), 43 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 34 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CIN: 20.6 points (RB8 that week), 127 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 49 yards, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CLE: 15.6 points (RB22 that week), 93 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 33 yards, 97 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs IND: 36.8 points (RB2 that week), 101 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 6 targets for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Jaylen Warren has averaged 13.8 carries for 77 yards and 5.0 targets and 3.3 catches for 36 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 29 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.

In Week 4 against CLE he had 17 carries and 6 targets on 97 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.

In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Jaylen Warren has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 9; Nico Collins has 11 games with his bye in Week 8.

TB, Warren's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 9th fewest to RBs of 32.

JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Nico Collins would want about 29 more added to make it even: a player like DK Metcalf, valued at 30. Two players for Warren also costs that side a roster spot.

DK Metcalf's player page

Other trades for Jaylen Warren and Nico Collins

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Jaylen Warren for Nico Collins?

    No on value: Jaylen Warren is worth 102 and Nico Collins 73, a loss of 29. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Warren.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Jaylen Warren or Nico Collins?

    Jaylen Warren, 102 to 73. He rates 17.2 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Nico Collins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number