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Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Nico Collins? No, Jones is worth 22 more.

No on value. Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 95 rest of season and Nico Collins 73, so giving up Jones costs 22. Jones rates 16.5 market points a game with 11 games left, Collins 15.7 with 11. On usage, Jones has 65 percent of MIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets. Jones is on bye in Week 6; Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs). Aaron Jones Sr. is listed Questionable (leg).

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Aaron Jones Sr. wins by 22.

Aaron Jones Sr. 9573 Nico Collins

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Aaron Jones Sr.

RB9MINQuestionable

95

value, #12

Pts/game
16.5
Games left
11
Bye
6
Aaron Jones Sr. weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
14.117.416.5

Nico Collins

WR9HOU

73

value, #25

Pts/game
15.7
Games left
11
Bye
8
Nico Collins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
2.815.716.7

Where the values come from

Jones is the 9th running back on the chart and 12th overall. His 16.5 a game is 8.6 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 95.

Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 16.5 in Week 5, a median of 16.5 points a game, up 2.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 70.2 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 2.5 a game less than the 16.5 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 46 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries, 81 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB5 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.

Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 18.0 carries for 74 yards and 3.8 targets and 2.3 catches for 17 yards a game on 69 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against MIA he had 20 carries and 8 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.

In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Nico Collins has 11 games with his bye in Week 8.

JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Nico Collins would want about 22 more added to make it even: a player like DJ Moore, valued at 22. Two players for Jones also costs that side a roster spot.

DJ Moore's player page

Other trades for Aaron Jones Sr. and Nico Collins

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Nico Collins?

    No on value: Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 95 and Nico Collins 73, a loss of 22. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Jones.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or Nico Collins?

    Aaron Jones Sr., 95 to 73. He rates 16.5 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Nico Collins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number