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Trade Christian Watson for Zay Flowers? Yes, Flowers is worth 13 more.

Yes on value. Zay Flowers is worth 66 rest of season and Christian Watson 53, so the side getting Flowers gains 13. Watson rates 13.9 market points a game with 11 games left, Flowers 15.1 with 11. On usage, Watson has drawn 21 percent of GB targets; Flowers has drawn 30 percent of BAL targets. Watson hosts DAL in Week 6 (11th most points allowed to WRs); Flowers is at CLE in Week 6 (8th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Getting Zay Flowers wins by 13.

Christian Watson 5366 Zay Flowers

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Christian Watson

WR15GB

53

value, #37

Pts/game
13.9
Games left
11
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
14.713.913.0

Zay Flowers

WR10BAL

66

value, #28

Pts/game
15.1
Games left
11
Bye
13
Zay Flowers weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
16.115.114.6

Where the values come from

Watson is the 15th receiver on the chart and 37th overall. His 13.9 a game is 4.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 53.

Flowers is the 10th receiver on the chart and 28th overall. His 15.1 a game is 6.0 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 66.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4 and 13.0 in Week 5, a median of 13.9 points a game, down 1.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Zay Flowers at 16.1 in Week 3, 15.1 in Week 4 and 14.6 in Week 5, a median of 15.1 points a game, down 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 109.4 PPR points in 5 games, 21.9 a game, 8.0 a game more than the 13.9 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR1 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Zay Flowers has scored 81.8 PPR points in 4 games, 20.5 a game, 5.4 a game more than the 15.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR7 with 243.3 PPR points in 17 games, 14.3 a game.

Week 1 vs IND: 26.0 points (WR7 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 150 yards, 1 touchdown, 29 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DAL: 15.4 points (WR22 that week), 20 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 6 targets for 84 yards, 33 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TEN: 25.8 points (WR7 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards, 1 touchdown, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs ATL: 14.6 points (WR18 that week), 13 rushing yards on 1 carry, 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 5.0 catches for 83 yards a game on 79 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against TB he had 3 targets on 68 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Zay Flowers has averaged 7.3 targets and 6.0 catches for 117 yards a game on 45 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 3 games.

In Week 4 against TEN he had 10 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Zay Flowers has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.

DAL, Watson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 36.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 11th most to WRs of 32.

CLE, Flowers's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 8th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Christian Watson would want about 13 more added to make it even: a player like Drake Maye, valued at 14. Two players for Flowers also costs that side a roster spot.

Drake Maye's player page

Other trades for Christian Watson and Zay Flowers

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for Zay Flowers?

    Yes on value: Zay Flowers is worth 66 and Christian Watson 53, a gain of 13. If Christian Watson starts for you and Zay Flowers would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or Zay Flowers?

    Zay Flowers, 66 to 53. He rates 15.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 13.9 over 11 for Christian Watson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number