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Trade Christian Watson for Nico Collins? Yes, Collins is worth 20 more.

Yes on value. Nico Collins is worth 73 rest of season and Christian Watson 53, so the side getting Collins gains 20. Watson rates 13.9 market points a game with 11 games left, Collins 15.7 with 11. On usage, Watson has drawn 21 percent of GB targets; Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets. Watson hosts DAL in Week 6 (11th most points allowed to WRs); Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Getting Nico Collins wins by 20.

Christian Watson 5373 Nico Collins

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Christian Watson

WR15GB

53

value, #37

Pts/game
13.9
Games left
11
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
14.713.913.0

Nico Collins

WR9HOU

73

value, #25

Pts/game
15.7
Games left
11
Bye
8
Nico Collins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
2.815.716.7

Where the values come from

Watson is the 15th receiver on the chart and 37th overall. His 13.9 a game is 4.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 53.

Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4 and 13.0 in Week 5, a median of 13.9 points a game, down 1.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 109.4 PPR points in 5 games, 21.9 a game, 8.0 a game more than the 13.9 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR1 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 5.0 catches for 83 yards a game on 79 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against TB he had 3 targets on 68 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.

In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Nico Collins has 11 games with his bye in Week 8.

DAL, Watson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 36.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 11th most to WRs of 32.

JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Christian Watson would want about 20 more added to make it even: a player like Tyler Shough, valued at 19. Two players for Collins also costs that side a roster spot.

Tyler Shough's player page

Other trades for Christian Watson and Nico Collins

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for Nico Collins?

    Yes on value: Nico Collins is worth 73 and Christian Watson 53, a gain of 20. If Christian Watson starts for you and Nico Collins would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or Nico Collins?

    Nico Collins, 73 to 53. He rates 15.7 market points a game over 11 games left, against 13.9 over 11 for Christian Watson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number