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Trade Christian Watson for Josh Allen? Yes, Allen is worth 16 more.

Yes on value. Josh Allen is worth 69 rest of season and Christian Watson 53, so the side getting Allen gains 16. Watson rates 13.9 market points a game with 11 games left, Allen 22.8 with 11. On usage, Watson has drawn 21 percent of GB targets; Allen has thrown 29.8 passes and run 7.0 times a game. Watson hosts DAL in Week 6 (11th most points allowed to WRs); Allen is at LV in Week 6 (15th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Getting Josh Allen wins by 16.

Christian Watson 5369 Josh Allen

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Christian Watson

WR15GB

53

value, #37

Pts/game
13.9
Games left
11
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
14.713.913.0

Josh Allen

QB1BUF

69

value, #27

Pts/game
22.8
Games left
11
Bye
7
Josh Allen weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
23.522.822.8

Where the values come from

Watson is the 15th receiver on the chart and 37th overall. His 13.9 a game is 4.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 53.

Allen is the 1st quarterback on the chart and 27th overall. His 22.8 a game is 6.3 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 69.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4 and 13.0 in Week 5, a median of 13.9 points a game, down 1.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Josh Allen at 23.5 in Week 3, 22.8 in Week 4 and 22.8 in Week 5, a median of 22.8 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 109.4 PPR points in 5 games, 21.9 a game, 8.0 a game more than the 13.9 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR1 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Josh Allen has scored 115.5 PPR points in 4 games, 28.9 a game, 6.1 a game more than the 22.8 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB1 with 374.6 PPR points in 17 games, 22.0 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 35.7 points (QB2 that week), 334 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 40.8 points (QB1 that week), 248 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 69 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 19.5 points (QB17 that week), 204 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 22 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 19.5 points (QB10 that week), 253 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 4 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 5.0 catches for 83 yards a game on 79 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against TB he had 3 targets on 68 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Josh Allen has averaged 29.8 attempts, 260 passing yards and 1.5 touchdown passes a game, with 7.0 runs for 31 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against NE he went 23 of 33 for 253 yards and 1 touchdown.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Josh Allen has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.

DAL, Watson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 36.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 11th most to WRs of 32.

LV, Allen's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.4 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 15th most to QBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Christian Watson would want about 16 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 17. Two players for Allen also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for Christian Watson and Josh Allen

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for Josh Allen?

    Yes on value: Josh Allen is worth 69 and Christian Watson 53, a gain of 16. If Christian Watson starts for you and Josh Allen would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or Josh Allen?

    Josh Allen, 69 to 53. He rates 22.8 market points a game over 11 games left, against 13.9 over 11 for Christian Watson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number