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Trade Courtland Sutton for Trevor Lawrence? Close to even, 2 to 8.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Courtland Sutton is 2 and Trevor Lawrence is 8, a 6 point edge to Lawrence that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Sutton rates 9.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Lawrence 17.2 with 11. On usage, Sutton has drawn 18 percent of DEN targets; Lawrence has thrown 25.8 passes and run 2.3 times a game. Sutton hosts SEA in Week 6 (2nd fewest points allowed to WRs); Lawrence hosts HOU in Week 6 (8th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Courtland Sutton 28 Trevor Lawrence

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Courtland Sutton

WR34DEN

2

value, #85

Pts/game
9.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
Courtland Sutton weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
9.19.49.3

Trevor Lawrence

QB7JAX

8

value, #72

Pts/game
17.2
Games left
11
Bye
7
Trevor Lawrence weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
17.218.417.2

Where the values come from

Sutton is the 34th receiver on the chart and 85th overall. His 9.3 a game is 0.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 2.

Lawrence is the 7th quarterback on the chart and 72nd overall. His 17.2 a game is 0.7 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 8.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Courtland Sutton at 9.1 in Week 3, 9.4 in Week 4 and 9.3 in Week 5, a median of 9.3 points a game, flat across them.

The market priced Trevor Lawrence at 17.2 in Week 3, 18.4 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

Courtland Sutton has scored 27.4 PPR points in 5 games, 5.5 a game, 3.8 a game less than the 9.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR13 with 219.7 PPR points in 17 games, 12.9 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 3.1 points (WR89 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 11 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 5.5 points (WR67 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 25 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 7.6 points (WR56 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 46 yards, 87 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 1.4 points (WR101 that week), 1 of 6 targets for 4 yards, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 9.8 points (WR34 that week), 2 of 3 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Trevor Lawrence has scored 89.9 PPR points in 5 games, 18.0 a game, 0.8 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB4 with 350.2 PPR points in 17 games, 20.6 a game.

Week 1 vs CLE: 26.1 points (QB5 that week), 245 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 3 rushing yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DEN: 7.2 points (QB29 that week), 189 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 6 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs NE: 20.8 points (QB12 that week), 182 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 25 rushing yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CIN: 13.1 points (QB23 that week), 227 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PHI: 22.7 points (QB9 that week), 331 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 25 rushing yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Courtland Sutton has averaged 5.5 targets and 2.3 catches for 22 yards a game on 78 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 17 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.

In Week 4 against SF he had 6 targets on 74 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence has averaged 25.8 attempts, 211 passing yards and 2.0 touchdown passes a game, with 2.3 runs for 9 yards on 96 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against CIN he went 18 of 23 for 227 yards and 1 touchdown.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Courtland Sutton has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Trevor Lawrence has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.

SEA, Sutton's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 21.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 2nd fewest to WRs of 32.

HOU, Lawrence's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 19.7 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 8th most to QBs of 32.

Other trades for Courtland Sutton and Trevor Lawrence

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Courtland Sutton for Trevor Lawrence?

    It is close to even: Courtland Sutton is 2 and Trevor Lawrence is 8 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Courtland Sutton or Trevor Lawrence?

    Trevor Lawrence, 8 to 2. He rates 17.2 market points a game over 11 games left, against 9.3 over 11 for Courtland Sutton, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number