Trade Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence? No, Prescott is worth 9 more.
No on value. Dak Prescott is worth 17 rest of season and Trevor Lawrence 8, so giving up Prescott costs 9. Prescott rates 18.0 market points a game with 11 games left, Lawrence 17.2 with 11. On usage, Prescott has thrown 37.5 passes and run 3.0 times a game; Lawrence has thrown 25.8 passes and run 2.3 times a game. Prescott is at GB in Week 6 (12th fewest points allowed to QBs); Lawrence hosts HOU in Week 6 (8th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Dak Prescott wins by 9.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 18.0
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 14
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 17.8 | 18.0 | 22.0 |
- Pts/game
- 17.2
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 7
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 17.2 | 18.4 | 17.2 |
Where the values come from
Prescott is the 5th quarterback on the chart and 64th overall. His 18.0 a game is 1.5 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 17.
Lawrence is the 7th quarterback on the chart and 72nd overall. His 17.2 a game is 0.7 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 8.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Dak Prescott at 17.8 in Week 3, 18.0 in Week 4 and 22.0 in Week 5, a median of 18.0 points a game, up 4.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Trevor Lawrence at 17.2 in Week 3, 18.4 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, flat across them.
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Points so far against the price
Dak Prescott has scored 96.8 PPR points in 5 games, 19.4 a game, 1.4 a game more than the 18.0 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished QB6 with 323.8 PPR points in 17 games, 19.0 a game.
Week 1 vs NYG: 15.4 points (QB19 that week), 175 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 14 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs WAS: 29.8 points (QB3 that week), 279 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 26 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs BAL: 18.9 points (QB19 that week), 276 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 19 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs HOU: 18.1 points (QB12 that week), 335 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 7 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs TB: 14.6 points (QB15 that week), 316 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass.
Trevor Lawrence has scored 89.9 PPR points in 5 games, 18.0 a game, 0.8 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished QB4 with 350.2 PPR points in 17 games, 20.6 a game.
Week 1 vs CLE: 26.1 points (QB5 that week), 245 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 3 rushing yards, 88 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs DEN: 7.2 points (QB29 that week), 189 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 6 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs NE: 20.8 points (QB12 that week), 182 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 25 rushing yards, 95 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs CIN: 13.1 points (QB23 that week), 227 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs PHI: 22.7 points (QB9 that week), 331 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 25 rushing yards.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Dak Prescott has averaged 37.5 attempts, 266 passing yards and 2.0 touchdown passes a game, with 3.0 runs for 17 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.
In Week 4 against HOU he went 32 of 45 for 335 yards and 1 touchdown.
Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence has averaged 25.8 attempts, 211 passing yards and 2.0 touchdown passes a game, with 2.3 runs for 9 yards on 96 percent of the snaps.
In Week 4 against CIN he went 18 of 23 for 227 yards and 1 touchdown.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Dak Prescott has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Trevor Lawrence has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.
GB, Prescott's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.0 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 12th fewest to QBs of 32.
HOU, Lawrence's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 19.7 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 8th most to QBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Trevor Lawrence would want about 9 more added to make it even: a player like Devaughn Vele, valued at 8. Two players for Prescott also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Dak Prescott and Trevor Lawrence
Dak Prescott for Omarion Hampton17 vs 26
Dak Prescott for Luther Burden III17 vs 24
Dak Prescott for DJ Moore17 vs 22
Dak Prescott for Tony Pollard17 vs 22
Dak Prescott for Denzel Boston17 vs 15
Trevor Lawrence for Tyler Shough8 vs 19
Patrick Mahomes for Trevor Lawrence18 vs 8
RJ Harvey for Trevor Lawrence17 vs 8- Denzel Boston for Trevor Lawrence15 vs 8
J.K. Dobbins for Trevor Lawrence15 vs 8
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence?
No on value: Dak Prescott is worth 17 and Trevor Lawrence 8, a loss of 9. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Prescott.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Dak Prescott or Trevor Lawrence?
Dak Prescott, 17 to 8. He rates 18.0 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.2 over 11 for Trevor Lawrence, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number