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Trade Patrick Mahomes for Trevor Lawrence? No, Mahomes is worth 10 more.

No on value. Patrick Mahomes is worth 18 rest of season and Trevor Lawrence 8, so giving up Mahomes costs 10. Mahomes rates 18.0 market points a game with 12 games left, Lawrence 17.2 with 11. On usage, Mahomes has thrown 32.0 passes and run 2.0 times a game; Lawrence has thrown 25.8 passes and run 2.3 times a game. Mahomes hosts LAC in Week 6 (14th most points allowed to QBs); Lawrence hosts HOU in Week 6 (8th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Patrick Mahomes wins by 10.

Patrick Mahomes 188 Trevor Lawrence

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Patrick Mahomes

QB4KC

18

value, #63

Pts/game
18.0
Games left
12
Bye
5
Patrick Mahomes weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
18.317.7not priced

Trevor Lawrence

QB7JAX

8

value, #72

Pts/game
17.2
Games left
11
Bye
7
Trevor Lawrence weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
17.218.417.2

Where the values come from

Mahomes is the 4th quarterback on the chart and 63rd overall. His 18.0 a game is 1.5 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 18.

Lawrence is the 7th quarterback on the chart and 72nd overall. His 17.2 a game is 0.7 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 8.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Patrick Mahomes at 18.3 in Week 3 and 17.7 in Week 4, a median of 18.0 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Trevor Lawrence at 17.2 in Week 3, 18.4 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

Patrick Mahomes has scored 85.6 PPR points in 4 games, 21.4 a game, 3.4 a game more than the 18.0 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB11 with 296.7 PPR points in 14 games, 21.2 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 22.7 points (QB9 that week), 184 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 29.0 points (QB4 that week), 382 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 17 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 16.9 points (QB20 that week), 246 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 1 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 17.0 points (QB13 that week), 225 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 100 percent of snaps.

Trevor Lawrence has scored 89.9 PPR points in 5 games, 18.0 a game, 0.8 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB4 with 350.2 PPR points in 17 games, 20.6 a game.

Week 1 vs CLE: 26.1 points (QB5 that week), 245 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 3 rushing yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DEN: 7.2 points (QB29 that week), 189 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 6 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs NE: 20.8 points (QB12 that week), 182 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 25 rushing yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CIN: 13.1 points (QB23 that week), 227 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PHI: 22.7 points (QB9 that week), 331 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 25 rushing yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Patrick Mahomes has averaged 32.0 attempts, 259 passing yards and 2.3 touchdown passes a game, with 2.0 runs for 12 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against LV he went 15 of 30 for 225 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence has averaged 25.8 attempts, 211 passing yards and 2.0 touchdown passes a game, with 2.3 runs for 9 yards on 96 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against CIN he went 18 of 23 for 227 yards and 1 touchdown.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Patrick Mahomes has 12 games in it with no bye left; Trevor Lawrence has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.

LAC, Mahomes's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.9 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 14th most to QBs of 32.

HOU, Lawrence's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 19.7 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 8th most to QBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Trevor Lawrence would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Mahomes also costs that side a roster spot.

Carnell Tate's player page

Other trades for Patrick Mahomes and Trevor Lawrence

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Patrick Mahomes for Trevor Lawrence?

    No on value: Patrick Mahomes is worth 18 and Trevor Lawrence 8, a loss of 10. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Mahomes.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Patrick Mahomes or Trevor Lawrence?

    Patrick Mahomes, 18 to 8. He rates 18.0 market points a game over 12 games left, against 17.2 over 11 for Trevor Lawrence, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number