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Trade Dak Prescott for Luther Burden III? Close to even, 17 to 24.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Dak Prescott is 17 and Luther Burden III is 24, a 7 point edge to Burden that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Prescott rates 18.0 market points a game with 11 games left, Burden 11.3 with 11. On usage, Prescott has thrown 37.5 passes and run 3.0 times a game; Burden has drawn 24 percent of CHI targets. Prescott is at GB in Week 6 (12th fewest points allowed to QBs); Burden is at ATL in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Dak Prescott 1724 Luther Burden III

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Dak Prescott

QB5DAL

17

value, #64

Pts/game
18.0
Games left
11
Bye
14
Dak Prescott weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
17.818.022.0

Luther Burden III

WR25CHI

24

value, #59

Pts/game
11.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
Luther Burden III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
4.811.311.5

Where the values come from

Prescott is the 5th quarterback on the chart and 64th overall. His 18.0 a game is 1.5 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 17.

Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.3 a game is 2.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 24.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Dak Prescott at 17.8 in Week 3, 18.0 in Week 4 and 22.0 in Week 5, a median of 18.0 points a game, up 4.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.3 points a game, up 6.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Dak Prescott has scored 96.8 PPR points in 5 games, 19.4 a game, 1.4 a game more than the 18.0 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB6 with 323.8 PPR points in 17 games, 19.0 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 15.4 points (QB19 that week), 175 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 14 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 29.8 points (QB3 that week), 279 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 26 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 18.9 points (QB19 that week), 276 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 19 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 18.1 points (QB12 that week), 335 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 7 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 14.6 points (QB15 that week), 316 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass.

Luther Burden III has scored 55.8 PPR points in 5 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 11.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR38 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Dak Prescott has averaged 37.5 attempts, 266 passing yards and 2.0 touchdown passes a game, with 3.0 runs for 17 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against HOU he went 32 of 45 for 335 yards and 1 touchdown.

Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has averaged 0.8 carries for 5 yards and 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 55 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NYJ he had 1 carry and 6 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Dak Prescott has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Luther Burden III has 11 games with his bye in Week 10.

GB, Prescott's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.0 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 12th fewest to QBs of 32.

ATL, Burden's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most to WRs of 32.

Other trades for Dak Prescott and Luther Burden III

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Dak Prescott for Luther Burden III?

    It is close to even: Dak Prescott is 17 and Luther Burden III is 24 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Dak Prescott or Luther Burden III?

    Luther Burden III, 24 to 17. He rates 11.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 18.0 over 11 for Dak Prescott, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number