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Trade Jaylen Waddle for Luther Burden III? No, Waddle is worth 12 more.

No on value. Jaylen Waddle is worth 36 rest of season and Luther Burden III 24, so giving up Waddle costs 12. Waddle rates 12.4 market points a game with 11 games left, Burden 11.3 with 11. On usage, Waddle has drawn 21 percent of DEN targets; Burden has drawn 24 percent of CHI targets. Waddle hosts SEA in Week 6 (2nd fewest points allowed to WRs); Burden is at ATL in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Jaylen Waddle wins by 12.

Jaylen Waddle 3624 Luther Burden III

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Jaylen Waddle

WR19DEN

36

value, #43

Pts/game
12.4
Games left
11
Bye
10
Jaylen Waddle weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
12.512.412.2

Luther Burden III

WR25CHI

24

value, #59

Pts/game
11.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
Luther Burden III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
4.811.311.5

Where the values come from

Waddle is the 19th receiver on the chart and 43rd overall. His 12.4 a game is 3.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 36.

Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.3 a game is 2.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 24.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Jaylen Waddle at 12.5 in Week 3, 12.4 in Week 4 and 12.2 in Week 5, a median of 12.4 points a game, flat across them.

The market priced Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.3 points a game, up 6.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Jaylen Waddle has scored 48.7 PPR points in 5 games, 9.7 a game, 2.7 a game less than the 12.4 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR24 with 194.1 PPR points in 16 games with MIA, 12.1 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 1.2 points (WR102 that week), 1 of 3 targets for 2 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 21.8 points (WR9 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 138 yards, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 6.4 points (WR65 that week), 14 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 7 targets for 10 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 14.5 points (WR25 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 35 yards, 1 touchdown, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 4.8 points (WR62 that week), 9 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards.

Luther Burden III has scored 55.8 PPR points in 5 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 11.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR38 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Jaylen Waddle has averaged 6.5 targets and 4.0 catches for 46 yards a game on 69 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 7 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against SF he had 6 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has averaged 0.8 carries for 5 yards and 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 55 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NYJ he had 1 carry and 6 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Jaylen Waddle has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Luther Burden III has 11 games with his bye in Week 10.

SEA, Waddle's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 21.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 2nd fewest to WRs of 32.

ATL, Burden's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Luther Burden III would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Tucker Kraft, valued at 12. Two players for Waddle also costs that side a roster spot.

Tucker Kraft's player page

Other trades for Jaylen Waddle and Luther Burden III

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Jaylen Waddle for Luther Burden III?

    No on value: Jaylen Waddle is worth 36 and Luther Burden III 24, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Waddle.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Jaylen Waddle or Luther Burden III?

    Jaylen Waddle, 36 to 24. He rates 12.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 11.3 over 11 for Luther Burden III, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number