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Trade David Montgomery for Luther Burden III? No, Montgomery is worth 11 more.

No on value. David Montgomery is worth 35 rest of season and Luther Burden III 24, so giving up Montgomery costs 11. Montgomery rates 11.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Burden 11.3 with 11. On usage, Montgomery has 52 percent of HOU carries and 5 percent of its targets; Burden has drawn 24 percent of CHI targets. Montgomery is at JAX in Week 6 (10th fewest points allowed to RBs); Burden is at ATL in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to WRs). David Montgomery is listed Out (groin).

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping David Montgomery wins by 11.

David Montgomery 3524 Luther Burden III

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35

value, #48

Pts/game
11.1
Games left
11
Bye
8
David Montgomery weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
11.112.010.5

24

value, #59

Pts/game
11.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
Luther Burden III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
4.811.311.5

Where the values come from

Montgomery is the 23rd running back on the chart and 48th overall. His 11.1 a game is 3.2 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 35.

Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.3 a game is 2.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 24.

The weekly market prices

The market priced David Montgomery at 11.1 in Week 3, 12.0 in Week 4 and 10.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.1 points a game, down 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.3 points a game, up 6.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

David Montgomery has scored 45.5 PPR points in 5 games, 9.1 a game, 2.0 a game less than the 11.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB27 with 166.9 PPR points in 17 games with DET, 9.8 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 28.9 points (RB7 that week), 60 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CIN: 4.4 points (RB48 that week), 10 rushing yards on 6 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 14 yards, 53 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs IND: 6.8 points (RB36 that week), 33 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards, 63 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 4.3 points (RB49 that week), 24 rushing yards on 10 carries, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 1.1 points (RB63 that week), 11 rushing yards on 5 carries.

Luther Burden III has scored 55.8 PPR points in 5 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 11.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR38 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, David Montgomery has averaged 11.8 carries for 32 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.8 catches for 12 yards a game on 54 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 9 times inside the 20, 35 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against DAL he had 10 carries and 0 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has averaged 0.8 carries for 5 yards and 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 55 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NYJ he had 1 carry and 6 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. David Montgomery has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Luther Burden III has 11 games with his bye in Week 10.

JAX, Montgomery's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 10th fewest to RBs of 32.

ATL, Burden's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Luther Burden III would want about 11 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Montgomery also costs that side a roster spot.

Carnell Tate's player page

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade David Montgomery for Luther Burden III?

    No on value: David Montgomery is worth 35 and Luther Burden III 24, a loss of 11. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Montgomery.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, David Montgomery or Luther Burden III?

    David Montgomery, 35 to 24. He rates 11.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 11.3 over 11 for Luther Burden III, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number