Trade Derrick Henry for Puka Nacua? No, Henry is worth 25 more.
No on value. Derrick Henry is worth 115 rest of season and Puka Nacua 90, so giving up Henry costs 25. Henry rates 18.4 market points a game with 11 games left, Nacua 17.3 with 11. On usage, Henry has 73 percent of BAL carries and 7 percent of its targets; Nacua has drawn 27 percent of LAR targets. Henry is at CLE in Week 6 (5th fewest points allowed to RBs); Nacua hosts ARI in Week 6 (6th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Derrick Henry wins by 25.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 18.4
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 13
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 18.4 | 18.6 | 15.6 |
- Pts/game
- 17.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 11
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 17.3 | 21.5 |
Where the values come from
Henry is the 5th running back on the chart and 7th overall. His 18.4 a game is 10.5 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 115.
Nacua is the 5th receiver on the chart and 15th overall. His 17.3 a game is 8.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 90.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Derrick Henry at 18.4 in Week 3, 18.6 in Week 4 and 15.6 in Week 5, a median of 18.4 points a game, down 2.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Puka Nacua at 3.0 in Week 3, 17.3 in Week 4 and 21.5 in Week 5, a median of 17.3 points a game, up 18.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Derrick Henry has scored 111.8 PPR points in 5 games, 22.4 a game, 4.0 a game more than the 18.4 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB8 with 279.5 PPR points in 17 games, 16.4 a game.
Week 1 vs IND: 35.3 points (RB1 that week), 144 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 1 target for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 54 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs NO: 17.7 points (RB6 that week), 68 rushing yards on 16 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 53 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs DAL: 21.9 points (RB4 that week), 89 rushing yards on 26 carries, 1 of 1 target for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns, 67 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs TEN: 15.9 points (RB21 that week), 73 rushing yards on 23 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 63 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs ATL: 21.0 points (RB4 that week), 102 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.
Puka Nacua has scored 40.1 PPR points in 2 games, 20.1 a game, 2.8 a game more than the 17.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR1 with 375.0 PPR points in 16 games, 23.4 a game.
Week 1 vs SF: 12.4 points (WR27 that week), 5 of 9 targets for 74 yards, 70 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs PHI: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 9 of 12 targets for 125 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Derrick Henry has averaged 22.3 carries for 94 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.8 catches for 11 yards a game on 59 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 23 times inside the 20, 55 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 7 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against TEN he had 23 carries and 2 targets on 63 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Puka Nacua has averaged 0.5 carries for 1 yard and 10.5 targets and 7.0 catches for 100 yards a game on 82 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 2 games.
In Week 4 against PHI he had 1 carry and 12 targets on 90 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Derrick Henry has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Puka Nacua has 11 games with his bye in Week 11.
CLE, Henry's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.7 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th fewest to RBs of 32.
ARI, Nacua's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 6th most to WRs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Puka Nacua would want about 25 more added to make it even: a player like Sam LaPorta, valued at 25. Two players for Henry also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Derrick Henry and Puka Nacua
Bijan Robinson for Derrick Henry154 vs 115
Derrick Henry for Kenneth Walker115 vs 145
Derrick Henry for Jaxon Smith-Njigba115 vs 120
Derrick Henry for Jonathan Taylor115 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Derrick Henry119 vs 115- Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Puka Nacua120 vs 90
- Jonathan Taylor for Puka Nacua120 vs 90
- Amon-Ra St. Brown for Puka Nacua119 vs 90
Christian McCaffrey for Puka Nacua114 vs 90
Jaylen Warren for Puka Nacua102 vs 90
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Derrick Henry for Puka Nacua?
No on value: Derrick Henry is worth 115 and Puka Nacua 90, a loss of 25. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Henry.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Derrick Henry or Puka Nacua?
Derrick Henry, 115 to 90. He rates 18.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.3 over 11 for Puka Nacua, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number