Trade Jaylen Warren for Puka Nacua? No, Warren is worth 12 more.
No on value. Jaylen Warren is worth 102 rest of season and Puka Nacua 90, so giving up Warren costs 12. Warren rates 17.2 market points a game with 11 games left, Nacua 17.3 with 11. On usage, Warren has 68 percent of PIT carries and 14 percent of its targets; Nacua has drawn 27 percent of LAR targets. Warren is at TB in Week 6 (9th fewest points allowed to RBs); Nacua hosts ARI in Week 6 (6th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Jaylen Warren wins by 12.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 17.2
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 9
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 12.2 | 17.7 | 17.2 |
- Pts/game
- 17.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 11
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 17.3 | 21.5 |
Where the values come from
Warren is the 7th running back on the chart and 9th overall. His 17.2 a game is 9.3 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 102.
Nacua is the 5th receiver on the chart and 15th overall. His 17.3 a game is 8.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 90.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Jaylen Warren at 12.2 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4 and 17.2 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, up 5.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Puka Nacua at 3.0 in Week 3, 17.3 in Week 4 and 21.5 in Week 5, a median of 17.3 points a game, up 18.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Jaylen Warren has scored 93.0 PPR points in 5 games, 18.6 a game, 1.4 a game more than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB17 with 217.1 PPR points in 16 games, 13.6 a game.
Week 1 vs ATL: 10.3 points (RB25 that week), 46 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 27 yards, 37 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs NE: 9.7 points (RB26 that week), 43 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 34 yards, 71 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs CIN: 20.6 points (RB8 that week), 127 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 49 yards, 90 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs CLE: 15.6 points (RB22 that week), 93 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 33 yards, 97 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs IND: 36.8 points (RB2 that week), 101 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 6 targets for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Puka Nacua has scored 40.1 PPR points in 2 games, 20.1 a game, 2.8 a game more than the 17.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR1 with 375.0 PPR points in 16 games, 23.4 a game.
Week 1 vs SF: 12.4 points (WR27 that week), 5 of 9 targets for 74 yards, 70 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs PHI: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 9 of 12 targets for 125 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Jaylen Warren has averaged 13.8 carries for 77 yards and 5.0 targets and 3.3 catches for 36 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 29 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.
In Week 4 against CLE he had 17 carries and 6 targets on 97 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Puka Nacua has averaged 0.5 carries for 1 yard and 10.5 targets and 7.0 catches for 100 yards a game on 82 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 2 games.
In Week 4 against PHI he had 1 carry and 12 targets on 90 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Jaylen Warren has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 9; Puka Nacua has 11 games with his bye in Week 11.
TB, Warren's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 9th fewest to RBs of 32.
ARI, Nacua's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 6th most to WRs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Puka Nacua would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Tucker Kraft, valued at 12. Two players for Warren also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Jaylen Warren and Puka Nacua
Jaylen Warren for Kenneth Walker102 vs 145
Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Jaylen Warren120 vs 102
Jaylen Warren for Jonathan Taylor102 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jaylen Warren119 vs 102
Derrick Henry for Jaylen Warren115 vs 102- Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Puka Nacua120 vs 90
- Jonathan Taylor for Puka Nacua120 vs 90
- Amon-Ra St. Brown for Puka Nacua119 vs 90
- Derrick Henry for Puka Nacua115 vs 90
Christian McCaffrey for Puka Nacua114 vs 90
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Jaylen Warren for Puka Nacua?
No on value: Jaylen Warren is worth 102 and Puka Nacua 90, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Warren.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Jaylen Warren or Puka Nacua?
Jaylen Warren, 102 to 90. He rates 17.2 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.3 over 11 for Puka Nacua, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number