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Trade DeVonta Smith for Nico Collins? Yes, Collins is worth 16 more.

Yes on value. Nico Collins is worth 73 rest of season and DeVonta Smith 57, so the side getting Collins gains 16. Smith rates 14.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Collins 15.7 with 11. On usage, Smith has drawn 33 percent of PHI targets; Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets. Smith hosts CAR in Week 6 (10th fewest points allowed to WRs); Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs). DeVonta Smith is listed Out (hamstring).

The verdict, Week 5

Getting Nico Collins wins by 16.

DeVonta Smith 5773 Nico Collins

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DeVonta Smith

WR13PHIOut

57

value, #33

Pts/game
14.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
DeVonta Smith weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
15.314.32.1

Nico Collins

WR9HOU

73

value, #25

Pts/game
15.7
Games left
11
Bye
8
Nico Collins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
2.815.716.7

Where the values come from

Smith is the 13th receiver on the chart and 33rd overall. His 14.3 a game is 5.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 57.

Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.

The weekly market prices

The market priced DeVonta Smith at 15.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4 and 2.1 in Week 5, a median of 14.3 points a game, down 13.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

DeVonta Smith has scored 48.5 PPR points in 3 games, 16.2 a game, 1.9 a game more than the 14.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR20 with 201.8 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 8.3 points (WR46 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 53 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 12.5 points (WR32 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 3, DeVonta Smith has averaged 9.0 targets and 6.3 catches for 78 yards a game on 93 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 3 games.

In Week 3 against CHI he had 8 targets on 100 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.

In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. DeVonta Smith has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Nico Collins has 11 games with his bye in Week 8.

CAR, Smith's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 28.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 10th fewest to WRs of 32.

JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting DeVonta Smith would want about 16 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 17. Two players for Collins also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for DeVonta Smith and Nico Collins

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade DeVonta Smith for Nico Collins?

    Yes on value: Nico Collins is worth 73 and DeVonta Smith 57, a gain of 16. If DeVonta Smith starts for you and Nico Collins would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, DeVonta Smith or Nico Collins?

    Nico Collins, 73 to 57. He rates 15.7 market points a game over 11 games left, against 14.3 over 11 for DeVonta Smith, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number