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Trade DK Metcalf for Luther Burden III? Close to even, 30 to 24.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value DK Metcalf is 30 and Luther Burden III is 24, a 6 point edge to Metcalf that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Metcalf rates 11.8 market points a game with 11 games left, Burden 11.3 with 11. On usage, Metcalf has drawn 23 percent of PIT targets; Burden has drawn 24 percent of CHI targets. Metcalf is at TB in Week 6 (5th fewest points allowed to WRs); Burden is at ATL in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

DK Metcalf 3024 Luther Burden III

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DK Metcalf

WR23PIT

30

value, #54

Pts/game
11.8
Games left
11
Bye
9
DK Metcalf weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
11.810.312.5

Luther Burden III

WR25CHI

24

value, #59

Pts/game
11.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
Luther Burden III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
4.811.311.5

Where the values come from

Metcalf is the 23rd receiver on the chart and 54th overall. His 11.8 a game is 2.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 30.

Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.3 a game is 2.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 24.

The weekly market prices

The market priced DK Metcalf at 11.8 in Week 3, 10.3 in Week 4 and 12.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.8 points a game, up 0.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.3 points a game, up 6.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

DK Metcalf has scored 48.6 PPR points in 5 games, 9.7 a game, 2.1 a game less than the 11.8 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR26 with 187.2 PPR points in 15 games, 12.5 a game.

Week 1 vs ATL: 8.0 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 10 targets for 40 yards, 96 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NE: 6.7 points (WR58 that week), 4 of 9 targets for 27 yards, 97 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CIN: 12.1 points (WR35 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 31 yards, 1 touchdown, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CLE: 16.5 points (WR16 that week), 5 of 9 targets for 115 yards, 97 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs IND: 5.3 points (WR56 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 3 of 4 targets for 12 yards.

Luther Burden III has scored 55.8 PPR points in 5 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 11.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR38 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, DK Metcalf has averaged 8.3 targets and 4.0 catches for 53 yards a game on 96 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 1 time inside the 20, 4 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against CLE he had 9 targets on 97 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has averaged 0.8 carries for 5 yards and 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 55 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NYJ he had 1 carry and 6 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. DK Metcalf has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 9; Luther Burden III has 11 games with his bye in Week 10.

TB, Metcalf's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 25.6 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th fewest to WRs of 32.

ATL, Burden's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most to WRs of 32.

Other trades for DK Metcalf and Luther Burden III

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade DK Metcalf for Luther Burden III?

    It is close to even: DK Metcalf is 30 and Luther Burden III is 24 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, DK Metcalf or Luther Burden III?

    DK Metcalf, 30 to 24. He rates 11.8 market points a game over 11 games left, against 11.3 over 11 for Luther Burden III, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number