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Trade Luther Burden III for Tee Higgins? Yes, Higgins is worth 11 more.

Yes on value. Tee Higgins is worth 35 rest of season and Luther Burden III 24, so the side getting Higgins gains 11. Burden rates 11.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Higgins 12.3 with 11. On usage, Burden has drawn 24 percent of CHI targets; Higgins has drawn 25 percent of CIN targets. Burden is at ATL in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to WRs); Higgins is on bye in Week 6. Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Getting Tee Higgins wins by 11.

Luther Burden III 2435 Tee Higgins

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24

value, #59

Pts/game
11.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
Luther Burden III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
4.811.311.5

35

value, #47

Pts/game
12.3
Games left
11
Bye
6
Tee Higgins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
12.313.64.1

Where the values come from

Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.3 a game is 2.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 24.

Higgins is the 22nd receiver on the chart and 47th overall. His 12.3 a game is 3.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 35.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.3 points a game, up 6.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Tee Higgins at 12.3 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4 and 4.1 in Week 5, a median of 12.3 points a game, down 8.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Luther Burden III has scored 55.8 PPR points in 5 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 11.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR38 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards.

Tee Higgins has scored 75.3 PPR points in 5 games, 15.1 a game, 2.8 a game more than the 12.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR15 with 211.6 PPR points in 15 games, 14.1 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 8.9 points (WR42 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 59 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 14.5 points (WR19 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 95 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 21.0 points (WR8 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 90 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 26.7 points (WR6 that week), 11 of 16 targets for 157 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 4.2 points (WR68 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 22 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has averaged 0.8 carries for 5 yards and 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 55 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NYJ he had 1 carry and 6 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Tee Higgins has averaged 9.8 targets and 6.3 catches for 100 yards a game on 79 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 6 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against JAX he had 16 targets on 79 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Luther Burden III has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Tee Higgins has 11 games with his bye in Week 6.

ATL, Burden's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Luther Burden III would want about 11 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Higgins also costs that side a roster spot.

Carnell Tate's player page

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Luther Burden III for Tee Higgins?

    Yes on value: Tee Higgins is worth 35 and Luther Burden III 24, a gain of 11. If Luther Burden III starts for you and Tee Higgins would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Luther Burden III or Tee Higgins?

    Tee Higgins, 35 to 24. He rates 12.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 11.3 over 11 for Luther Burden III, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number