Trade Kyren Williams for Tetairoa McMillan? No, Williams is worth 12 more.
No on value. Kyren Williams is worth 70 rest of season and Tetairoa McMillan 58, so giving up Williams costs 12. Williams rates 14.3 market points a game with 11 games left, McMillan 13.9 with 12. On usage, Williams has 54 percent of LAR carries and 16 percent of its targets; McMillan has drawn 27 percent of CAR targets. Williams hosts ARI in Week 6 (2nd fewest points allowed to RBs); McMillan is at PHI in Week 6 (10th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Kyren Williams wins by 12.

Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 14.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 11
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 13.3 | 14.3 | 17.4 |
- Pts/game
- 13.9
- Games left
- 12
- Bye
- 5
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 13.1 | 14.7 | not priced |
Where the values come from
Williams is the 15th running back on the chart and 26th overall. His 14.3 a game is 6.4 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 70.
McMillan is the 12th receiver on the chart and 32nd overall. His 13.9 a game is 4.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 58.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Kyren Williams at 13.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4 and 17.4 in Week 5, a median of 14.3 points a game, up 4.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Tetairoa McMillan at 13.1 in Week 3 and 14.7 in Week 4, a median of 13.9 points a game, up 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Kyren Williams has scored 89.7 PPR points in 4 games, 22.4 a game, 8.1 a game more than the 14.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB9 with 263.3 PPR points in 17 games, 15.5 a game.
Week 1 vs SF: 15.5 points (RB15 that week), 41 rushing yards on 11 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 24 yards, 1 touchdown, 64 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs NYG: 15.7 points (RB8 that week), 85 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 1 touchdown, 55 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs DEN: 21.8 points (RB5 that week), 88 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 7 targets for 70 yards, 71 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs PHI: 36.7 points (RB1 that week), 80 rushing yards on 16 carries, 10 of 13 targets for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns, 83 percent of snaps.
Tetairoa McMillan has scored 74.5 PPR points in 4 games, 18.6 a game, 4.7 a game more than the 13.9 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR16 with 211.4 PPR points in 17 games, 12.4 a game.
Week 1 vs CHI: 10.5 points (WR32 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards, 82 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs ATL: 15.1 points (WR16 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs CLE: 3.7 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards, 95 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs DET: 45.2 points (WR1 that week), 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns, 89 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Kyren Williams has averaged 13.5 carries for 74 yards and 6.3 targets and 5.3 catches for 43 yards a game on 70 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 15 times inside the 20, 44 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against PHI he had 16 carries and 13 targets on 83 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 9.8 targets and 6.5 catches for 96 yards a game on 87 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against DET he had 16 targets on 89 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Kyren Williams has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Tetairoa McMillan has 12 games with no bye left.
ARI, Williams's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 14.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 2nd fewest to RBs of 32.
PHI, McMillan's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 10th most to WRs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Tetairoa McMillan would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Tucker Kraft, valued at 12. Two players for Williams also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Kyren Williams and Tetairoa McMillan

CeeDee Lamb for Kyren Williams100 vs 70
Chuba Hubbard for Kyren Williams96 vs 70
Aaron Jones Sr. for Kyren Williams95 vs 70
Ashton Jeanty for Kyren Williams95 vs 70
Chase Brown for Kyren Williams90 vs 70
Drake London for Tetairoa McMillan81 vs 58
Garrett Wilson for Tetairoa McMillan79 vs 58
D'Andre Swift for Tetairoa McMillan76 vs 58
Brock Bowers for Tetairoa McMillan75 vs 58
Nico Collins for Tetairoa McMillan73 vs 58
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Kyren Williams for Tetairoa McMillan?
No on value: Kyren Williams is worth 70 and Tetairoa McMillan 58, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Williams.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Kyren Williams or Tetairoa McMillan?
Kyren Williams, 70 to 58. He rates 14.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 13.9 over 12 for Tetairoa McMillan, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number