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Trade Lamar Jackson for Luther Burden III? No, Jackson is worth 9 more.

No on value. Lamar Jackson is worth 33 rest of season and Luther Burden III 24, so giving up Jackson costs 9. Jackson rates 19.5 market points a game with 11 games left, Burden 11.3 with 11. On usage, Jackson has thrown 23.5 passes and run 4.0 times a game; Burden has drawn 24 percent of CHI targets. Jackson is at CLE in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to QBs); Burden is at ATL in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to WRs). Lamar Jackson is listed Out (ankle).

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Lamar Jackson wins by 9.

Lamar Jackson 3324 Luther Burden III

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Lamar Jackson

QB2BALOut

33

value, #50

Pts/game
19.5
Games left
11
Bye
13
Lamar Jackson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
21.419.51.9

Luther Burden III

WR25CHI

24

value, #59

Pts/game
11.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
Luther Burden III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
4.811.311.5

Where the values come from

Jackson is the 2nd quarterback on the chart and 50th overall. His 19.5 a game is 3.0 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 33.

Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.3 a game is 2.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 24.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Lamar Jackson at 21.4 in Week 3, 19.5 in Week 4 and 1.9 in Week 5, a median of 19.5 points a game, down 19.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.3 points a game, up 6.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Lamar Jackson has scored 80.1 PPR points in 4 games, 20.0 a game, 0.5 a game more than the 19.5 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB20 with 221.9 PPR points in 13 games, 17.1 a game.

Week 1 vs IND: 25.0 points (QB7 that week), 324 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 40 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NO: 15.8 points (QB16 that week), 235 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 34 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DAL: 20.4 points (QB13 that week), 186 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 50 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TEN: 18.9 points (QB11 that week), 222 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 20 rushing yards, 52 percent of snaps.

Luther Burden III has scored 55.8 PPR points in 5 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 11.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR38 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Lamar Jackson has averaged 23.5 attempts, 242 passing yards and 1.5 touchdown passes a game, with 4.0 runs for 37 yards on 88 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against TEN he went 15 of 20 for 222 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has averaged 0.8 carries for 5 yards and 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 55 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NYJ he had 1 carry and 6 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Lamar Jackson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Luther Burden III has 11 games with his bye in Week 10.

CLE, Jackson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 19.4 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to QBs of 32.

ATL, Burden's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Luther Burden III would want about 9 more added to make it even: a player like Trevor Lawrence, valued at 8. Two players for Jackson also costs that side a roster spot.

Trevor Lawrence's player page

Other trades for Lamar Jackson and Luther Burden III

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Lamar Jackson for Luther Burden III?

    No on value: Lamar Jackson is worth 33 and Luther Burden III 24, a loss of 9. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Jackson.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Lamar Jackson or Luther Burden III?

    Lamar Jackson, 33 to 24. He rates 19.5 market points a game over 11 games left, against 11.3 over 11 for Luther Burden III, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number