Trade Nico Collins for Saquon Barkley? No, Collins is worth 10 more.
No on value. Nico Collins is worth 73 rest of season and Saquon Barkley 63, so giving up Collins costs 10. Collins rates 15.7 market points a game with 11 games left, Barkley 13.6 with 11. On usage, Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets; Barkley has 36 percent of PHI carries and 7 percent of its targets. Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs); Barkley hosts CAR in Week 6 (3rd most points allowed to RBs). Saquon Barkley is listed Out (hamstring).
The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Nico Collins wins by 10.

Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 15.7
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 8
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | 15.7 | 16.7 |
- Pts/game
- 13.6
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 10
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 13.6 | 3.9 |
Where the values come from
Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.
Barkley is the 16th running back on the chart and 30th overall. His 13.6 a game is 5.7 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 63.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Saquon Barkley at 15.5 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4 and 3.9 in Week 5, a median of 13.6 points a game, down 11.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.
Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.
Saquon Barkley has scored 23.0 PPR points in 4 games, 5.8 a game, 7.9 a game less than the 13.6 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB14 with 232.3 PPR points in 16 games, 14.5 a game.
Week 1 vs WAS: 9.0 points (RB30 that week), 83 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -3 yards, 71 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs TEN: 3.0 points (RB58 that week), 9 rushing yards on 4 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 16 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs CHI: 9.0 points (RB32 that week), 82 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -2 yards, 72 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs LAR: 2.0 points (RB62 that week), 8 rushing yards on 2 carries, 1 of 1 target for 2 yards, 7 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.
In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Saquon Barkley has averaged 9.0 carries for 46 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.0 catches for 2 yards a game on 38 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 14 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.
In Week 4 against LAR he had 2 carries and 1 target on 7 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Nico Collins has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Saquon Barkley has 11 games with his bye in Week 10.
JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.
CAR, Barkley's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 28.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 3rd most to RBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Saquon Barkley would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Collins also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Nico Collins and Saquon Barkley

Jaylen Warren for Nico Collins102 vs 73
CeeDee Lamb for Nico Collins100 vs 73
Chuba Hubbard for Nico Collins96 vs 73
Aaron Jones Sr. for Nico Collins95 vs 73
Ashton Jeanty for Nico Collins95 vs 73
Chase Brown for Saquon Barkley90 vs 63
Chris Olave for Saquon Barkley90 vs 63
Puka Nacua for Saquon Barkley90 vs 63
Ja'Marr Chase for Saquon Barkley89 vs 63
James Cook III for Saquon Barkley87 vs 63
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Nico Collins for Saquon Barkley?
No on value: Nico Collins is worth 73 and Saquon Barkley 63, a loss of 10. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Collins.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Nico Collins or Saquon Barkley?
Nico Collins, 73 to 63. He rates 15.7 market points a game over 11 games left, against 13.6 over 11 for Saquon Barkley, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number