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Chet Holmgren or Jimmy Butler? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cs ranked 5th and 10th at the position, compared on 2025-26 per-game production.

FP/G
36.3
9-cat
#18
Last 10 FP
35.1

Day to day (Quadriceps)

3 games in Week 1

Week 1 pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Jimmy Butler
SFGSWOUT
FP/G
37.4
9-cat
#20
Last 10 FP
38.2

Out (Knee)

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

The Week 1 call

Jimmy Butler is listed Out (Knee) on Sleeper, so his projection counts no games while that stands.

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Chet Holmgren. Chet Holmgren has 3 games counted to 0 for Jimmy Butler, for 109.0 projected fantasy points against 0.0.

9-cat leagues: Chet Holmgren again, 9.2 category value for the week to 0.0.

Chet Holmgren's minutes are down: 24.6 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 28.9 on the board.

Jimmy Butler's minutes are down: 27.1 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 31.1 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekChet HolmgrenJimmy Butler
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)30
Back-to-backs01
Games, Week 234
Minutes, last games24.6 (last 5)27.1 (last 5)
Minutes, board28.931.1
Shots per 36, last games15.218.3
InjuryDay to day (Quadriceps)Out (Knee)
Projected fantasy points109.00.0
Projected 9-cat value9.20.0

Schedule: Chet Holmgren Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC. Jimmy Butler Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatChet HolmgrenJimmy Butler
Points51.30.0
Rebounds26.70.0
Assists5.00.0
Steals1.90.0
Blocks5.70.0
Threes3.80.0
Turnovers4.70.0

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2025-26. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Jimmy Butler, 37.4 fantasy points per game to 36.3.

9-cat leagues: Chet Holmgren instead, 18th overall against 20th, because the categories reward a different mix.

Per game, side by side

StatChet HolmgrenJimmy Butler
Fantasy points per game36.337.4
Minutes28.931.1
PointsPTS17.120.0
ReboundsREB8.95.6
AssistsAST1.74.9
StealsSTL0.61.4
BlocksBLK1.90.2
Threes3PM1.30.8
Field goal %FG%55.7%51.9%
Free throw %FT%79.2%86.4%
TurnoversTO1.61.6

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

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Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Common questions

  • Should I start Chet Holmgren or Jimmy Butler in Week 1?

    Jimmy Butler is listed Out (Knee) on Sleeper, so his projection counts no games while that stands. Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Chet Holmgren. Chet Holmgren has 3 games counted to 0 for Jimmy Butler, for 109.0 projected fantasy points against 0.0. 9-cat leagues: Chet Holmgren again, 9.2 category value for the week to 0.0. Chet Holmgren's minutes are down: 24.6 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 28.9 on the board. Jimmy Butler's minutes are down: 27.1 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 31.1 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Chet Holmgren or Jimmy Butler?

    Points leagues: Jimmy Butler, 37.4 fantasy points per game to 36.3. 9-cat leagues: Chet Holmgren instead, 18th overall against 20th, because the categories reward a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Chet Holmgren or Jimmy Butler?

    Chet Holmgren is ahead in 4 (rebounds, blocks, threes, field goal percentage); Jimmy Butler in 4 (points, assists, steals, free throw percentage), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 7:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number