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Chet Holmgren or Julius Randle? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cs ranked 9th and 10th at the position, compared on 2025-26 per-game production.

FP/G
36.3
9-cat
#18
Last 10 FP
35.1

Day to day (Quadriceps)

3 games in Week 1

Week 1 pick in 9-cat leagues.

FP/G
37.9
9-cat
#68
Last 10 FP
34.5

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in points leagues.

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Julius Randle. Both have 3 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 37.9 fantasy points to 36.3.

9-cat leagues: Chet Holmgren instead, 9.2 category value for the week to -1.2, because his category mix is worth more there.

Julius Randle has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Chet Holmgren's minutes are down: 24.6 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 28.9 on the board.

Julius Randle played 32.6 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 33.0 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekChet HolmgrenJulius Randle
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)33
Back-to-backs01
Games, Week 233
Minutes, last games24.6 (last 5)32.6 (last 5)
Minutes, board28.933.0
Shots per 36, last games15.216.1
InjuryDay to day (Quadriceps)None listed
Projected fantasy points109.0113.8
Projected 9-cat value9.2-1.2

Schedule: Chet Holmgren Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC. Julius Randle Wed CHA, Sat @CLE, Sun IND.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatChet HolmgrenJulius Randle
Points51.363.3
Rebounds26.720.2
Assists5.015.1
Steals1.93.3
Blocks5.70.7
Threes3.84.1
Turnovers4.78.2

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2025-26. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Julius Randle, 37.9 fantasy points per game to 36.3.

9-cat leagues: Chet Holmgren instead, 18th overall against 68th, because the categories reward a different mix.

Per game, side by side

StatChet HolmgrenJulius Randle
Fantasy points per game36.337.9
Minutes28.933.0
PointsPTS17.121.1
ReboundsREB8.96.7
AssistsAST1.75.0
StealsSTL0.61.1
BlocksBLK1.90.2
Threes3PM1.31.4
Field goal %FG%55.7%48.1%
Free throw %FT%79.2%80.2%
TurnoversTO1.62.7

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

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Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Common questions

  • Should I start Chet Holmgren or Julius Randle in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Julius Randle. Both have 3 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 37.9 fantasy points to 36.3. 9-cat leagues: Chet Holmgren instead, 9.2 category value for the week to -1.2, because his category mix is worth more there. Julius Randle has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Chet Holmgren's minutes are down: 24.6 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 28.9 on the board. Julius Randle played 32.6 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 33.0 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Chet Holmgren or Julius Randle?

    Points leagues: Julius Randle, 37.9 fantasy points per game to 36.3. 9-cat leagues: Chet Holmgren instead, 18th overall against 68th, because the categories reward a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Chet Holmgren or Julius Randle?

    Chet Holmgren is ahead in 4 (rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage, turnovers); Julius Randle in 5 (points, assists, steals, threes, free throw percentage), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 7:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number