Start Javonte Williams or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Javonte Williams over Aaron Jones Sr.
- Books imply
- 15.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 75%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 15%
- Through Week 2
- Books imply
- 14.7
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Javonte Williams over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Javonte Williams at 15.5 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.7, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Javonte Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Javonte Williams at 58.5 rushing yards, 16.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 59% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 15 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Aaron Jones Sr. at 69.5 rushing yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 51% chance to score a touchdown (6, 3 and 14 books).
That puts Javonte Williams 0.8 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the books.
Injury status
Javonte Williams is not on the injury report.
Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Javonte Williams played 75 percent of DAL snaps, took 62 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 47 percent of the red zone chances.
Javonte Williams, Week 1 against NYG: 41 of 58 snaps, 12 carries for 41 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 31 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Javonte Williams, Week 2 against WAS: 44 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 30 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 20 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Javonte Williams played 16 games for DAL and scored 242.8 PPR points, 15.2 a game, finishing RB12.
He ran 252 times for 1201 yards and 11 touchdowns, and caught 35 of 51 targets for 137 yards.
He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Javonte Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 25 of 92 snaps, 13 carries for 54 yards, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 11.4 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB12 · DAL · bye 14
2025 vs catches line 6-10
- Overall rank
- 17
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB15 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs rush yds line 4-8
- Overall rank
- 24
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board7
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 5
- Board size230 draftable players
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