Start Daniel Jones or Aaron Rodgers? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Daniel Jones over Aaron Rodgers in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Daniel Jones at 15.9 points and Aaron Rodgers at 14.6, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 15.9 fantasy points for Daniel Jones, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Daniel Jones at 218.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 15 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Aaron Rodgers at 220.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 0.5 rushing yards, with a 6% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 8 and 14 books).

That puts Daniel Jones 1.2 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the books.

Injury status

Daniel Jones is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Daniel Jones played 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 67 times and threw an average of 5.9 air yards per attempt.

Daniel Jones, Week 1 against BAL: 54 of 54 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 2 against KC: 65 of 65 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Through Week 2, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 86 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 31 of 47 passes for 294 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 20 yards, 17.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Baker Mayfield over Daniel Jones.
• Start Daniel Jones over Cam Ward.
• Start Geno Smith over Daniel Jones.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Cam Ward.