Start Geno Smith or Daniel Jones? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Geno Smith over Daniel Jones in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Geno Smith at 16.7 points and Daniel Jones at 15.9, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 16.7 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Geno Smith at 222.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 15.9 fantasy points for Daniel Jones, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Daniel Jones at 219.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 14 and 15 books).

That puts Geno Smith 0.8 points ahead of Daniel Jones on the books.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Daniel Jones is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 74 times and threw an average of 6.6 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Through Week 2, Daniel Jones played 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 67 times and threw an average of 5.9 air yards per attempt.

Daniel Jones, Week 1 against BAL: 54 of 54 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 2 against KC: 65 of 65 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Geno Smith, Week 17 of 2025 against NYG: 53 of 59 snaps, 20 of 28 passes for 176 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards, 9.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Geno Smith.
• Start Bo Nix over Geno Smith.
• Start Daniel Jones over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Daniel Jones.
• Start Daniel Jones over Cam Ward.