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Start Alvin Kamara or Braelon Allen? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Alvin Kamara over Braelon Allen

Wrong: 0.0 to 4.0
Start

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · at DET · questionable

DET D vs RB
25.0
12th most to RBs (2026)
Scored
0.0
PPR pts
Sit

Braelon Allen

RB · NYJ · at TEN

Books imply
0.8
fantasy pts
TEN D vs RB
23.8
15th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
40%
Week 1
Target share
4%
Week 1
Scored
4.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Alvin Kamara over Braelon Allen in Week 1.

Braelon Allen is priced by the books at 0.8 projected points and Alvin Kamara is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Alvin Kamara at ADP 169 and Braelon Allen at 170.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Alvin Kamara in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 0.8 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 30 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Alvin Kamara and NO visit DET.

DET allowed 25.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 80 yards and a touchdown against DET and caught passes for 30 more yards.

Braelon Allen and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 23.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 142 yards and a touchdown against TEN and caught passes for 16 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara was listed as questionable when the call was made.

Braelon Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 1 went

Alvin Kamara scored 0.0 PPR points and Braelon Allen scored 4.0.

The call was wrong: Braelon Allen outscored Alvin Kamara by 4.0.

Braelon Allen finished 3.2 points above the 0.8 the props implied.

Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4.0 PPR points.

Braelon Allen finished as the week's RB50 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB29 · NO · bye 8

2025 vs rush yds line 2-9

Overall rank
57
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB39 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs rush yds line 1-3

Overall rank
156
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board99
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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