Start Alvin Kamara or Emmett Johnson? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Emmett Johnson over Alvin Kamara
Right: 8.8 to 0.0
- DEN D vs RB
- 42.9
- 2nd most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 36%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 8%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.8
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 1.8
- fantasy pts
- DET D vs RB
- 25.0
- 12th most to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Emmett Johnson over Alvin Kamara in Week 1.
Alvin Kamara is priced by the books at 1.8 projected points and Emmett Johnson is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Emmett Johnson at ADP 160 and Alvin Kamara at 164.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Emmett Johnson in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 1.8 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Emmett Johnson and KC host DEN.
DEN allowed 42.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.
Running backs ran for 197 yards and a touchdown against DEN and caught passes for 62 more yards.
Alvin Kamara and NO visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
DET allowed 25.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 80 yards and a touchdown against DET and caught passes for 30 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Emmett Johnson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Emmett Johnson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Alvin Kamara was listed as questionable when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.
He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.
He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Emmett Johnson scored 8.8 PPR points and Alvin Kamara scored 0.0.
The call was right: Emmett Johnson outscored Alvin Kamara by 8.8.
Emmett Johnson, Week 1 against DEN: 25 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 24 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 44 yards, 8.8 PPR points.
Emmett Johnson finished as the week's RB32 in PPR scoring.
Alvin Kamara finished 1.8 points below the 1.8 the props implied.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB29 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rush yds line 2-9
- Overall rank
- 57
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB59 · KC · bye 5
- Overall rank
- 240
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 13
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board183
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 13
- Board size244 draftable players
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