Start Geno Smith or Bo Nix? Week 6
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Geno Smith over Bo Nix

- Market projects
- 16.1
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 5

- Market projects
- 15.0
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 5
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Our Week 6 call
Start Geno Smith over Bo Nix in Week 6.
Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 16.1 points and Bo Nix at 15.0, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Geno Smith's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Geno Smith is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Geno Smith at 220.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (9, 10 and 6 market sources).
Player markets imply 15.0 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Bo Nix at 201.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 13.5 rushing yards, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (12, 14, 13 and 13 market sources).
That puts Geno Smith 1.2 points ahead of Bo Nix on the market projections.
Injury status
Geno Smith is not on the injury report.
Bo Nix is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 6
Through Week 5, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 171 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.
Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.
Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.
Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.
Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.
Through Week 5, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 172 times and threw an average of 5.2 air yards per attempt.
Bo Nix, Week 2 against JAX: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.
Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.
Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.
Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.
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Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.
He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.
He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 6 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB15 · NYJ · bye 13
2026 vs pass yds line 3-2
- Overall rank
- 105
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
QB17 · DEN · bye 10
2026 vs pass yds line 1-4
- Overall rank
- 123
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 6, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board18
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 6
- Board size179 draftable players
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