Start C.J. Stroud or Geno Smith? Week 6

Our Week 6 call

Start C.J. Stroud over Geno Smith in Week 6.

Market-based projections have C.J. Stroud at 16.8 points and Geno Smith at 16.1, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Geno Smith's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has C.J. Stroud at 254.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 10% chance to score a touchdown (12, 14, 9 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Geno Smith at 220.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (9, 10 and 6 market sources).

That puts C.J. Stroud 0.6 points ahead of Geno Smith on the market projections.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 9.8 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 2 against CIN: 80 of 80 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 353 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 3 against IND: 54 of 54 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Through Week 5, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 171 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 6 calls

• Start C.J. Stroud over Bo Nix.
• Start Brock Purdy over C.J. Stroud.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Caleb Williams.
• Start Geno Smith over Bo Nix.
• Start Geno Smith over Cam Ward.
• Start Dak Prescott over Geno Smith.