Start Brock Purdy or Jared Goff? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff in Week 1.

Brock Purdy is priced by the books at 9.7 projected points. Jared Goff has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 85 and Jared Goff at 107. Market coverage on Brock Purdy is 45 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 45 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Jared Goff in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Brock Purdy and SF visit LAR on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.

LAR allowed 22.1 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 205 yards and 3 touchdowns against LAR, with an interception.

Jared Goff and DET host NO.

NO allowed 16.4 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 206 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Brock Purdy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brock Purdy was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Jared Goff was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brock Purdy, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 42 of 42 snaps, 19 of 27 passes for 127 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 21 yards, 6.2 PPR points.

Brock Purdy, Week 17 of 2025 against CHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 33 passes for 303 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 28 yards, 37.9 PPR points.

Brock Purdy, Week 16 of 2025 against IND: 63 of 66 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 295 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 11 yards, 31.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 27 of 42 passes for 331 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 16.2 PPR points.

Jared Goff, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 64 of 64 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

Jared Goff, Week 16 of 2025 against PIT: 74 of 74 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 364 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for -1 yards, 26.5 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Brock Purdy scored 22.1 PPR points and Jared Goff scored 16.4.

The call was right: Brock Purdy outscored Jared Goff by 5.7.

Brock Purdy finished 12.4 points above the 9.7 the props implied.

Brock Purdy, Week 1 against LAR: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 205 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards, 22.1 PPR points.

Brock Purdy finished as the week's QB10 in PPR scoring.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards, 16.4 PPR points.

Jared Goff finished as the week's QB17 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Bo Nix.
• Start Brock Purdy over Caleb Williams.
• Start Brock Purdy over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Bo Nix over Jared Goff.
• Start Caleb Williams over Jared Goff.
• Start Justin Herbert over Jared Goff.