Start Bo Nix or Jared Goff? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Bo Nix over Jared Goff in Week 1.

Bo Nix is priced by the books at 10.9 projected points. Jared Goff has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Bo Nix at ADP 109 and Jared Goff at 102.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Jared Goff in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 10.9 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 75 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Jared Goff and DET host NO.

NO allowed 16.4 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 206 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO, with no interceptions.

Bo Nix and DEN visit KC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

KC allowed 6.4 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 131 yards and a touchdown against KC, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Jared Goff has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jared Goff was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Bo Nix was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 27 of 42 passes for 331 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 16.2 PPR points.

Jared Goff, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 64 of 64 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

Jared Goff, Week 16 of 2025 against PIT: 74 of 74 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 364 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for -1 yards, 26.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 14 of 23 passes for 141 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 49 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Bo Nix, Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 72 of 72 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 9 carries for 42 yards, 20.5 PPR points.

Bo Nix, Week 16 of 2025 against JAX: 66 of 66 snaps, 28 of 47 passes for 352 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 11 yards, 16.2 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Bo Nix scored 6.4 PPR points and Jared Goff scored 16.4.

The call was wrong: Jared Goff outscored Bo Nix by 10.0.

Bo Nix finished 4.4 points below the 10.9 the props implied.

Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 2 yards, 6.4 PPR points.

Bo Nix finished as the week's QB31 in PPR scoring.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards, 16.4 PPR points.

Jared Goff finished as the week's QB17 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Jared Goff.
• Start Caleb Williams over Jared Goff.
• Start Justin Herbert over Jared Goff.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Brock Purdy over Bo Nix.
• Start Jaxson Dart over Bo Nix.