Start Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams in Week 1.

Caleb Williams is priced by the books at 8.4 projected points and Dak Prescott is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Dak Prescott at ADP 69 and Caleb Williams at 84.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Dak Prescott in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 8.4 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 25 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Dak Prescott and DAL visit NYG.

NYG allowed 15.4 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 14th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 175 yards and 2 touchdowns against NYG, with an interception.

Caleb Williams and CHI visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 37.3 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2 touchdowns against CAR, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Caleb Williams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dak Prescott was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Caleb Williams was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 7 of 11 passes for 70 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for -1 yards, 0.7 PPR points.

Dak Prescott, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 92 of 92 snaps, 19 of 37 passes for 307 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 24 yards, 22.7 PPR points.

Dak Prescott, Week 16 of 2025 against LAC: 53 of 58 snaps, 21 of 30 passes for 244 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 14 yards, 19.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 20 of 33 passes for 212 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards, 17.6 PPR points.

Caleb Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 66 of 66 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 330 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 18 yards, 23.0 PPR points.

Caleb Williams, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 34 passes for 250 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards, 21.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Dak Prescott scored 15.4 PPR points and Caleb Williams scored 37.3.

The call was wrong: Caleb Williams outscored Dak Prescott by 21.9.

Dak Prescott, Week 1 against NYG: 58 of 58 snaps, 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards, 15.4 PPR points.

Dak Prescott finished as the week's QB19 in PPR scoring.

Caleb Williams finished 28.9 points above the 8.4 the props implied.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards, 37.3 PPR points.

Caleb Williams finished as the week's QB1 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Dak Prescott over Drake Maye.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Dak Prescott.
• Start Dak Prescott over Jayden Daniels.
• Start Brock Purdy over Caleb Williams.
• Start Caleb Williams over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Caleb Williams over Jared Goff.