Start Caleb Williams or Jalen Hurts? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Caleb Williams over Jalen Hurts in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project Caleb Williams at 8.4 points and Jalen Hurts at 3.0, a gap of 5.5. Drafters take Caleb Williams at ADP 84 and Jalen Hurts at 73. Market coverage on Caleb Williams is 25 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 3.0 fantasy points for Jalen Hurts, with 40 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 8.4 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 25 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Caleb Williams 5.5 points ahead of Jalen Hurts on the books.

Week 1 matchups

Jalen Hurts and PHI host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

WAS allowed 24.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 203 yards and 3 touchdowns against WAS, with no interceptions.

Caleb Williams and CHI visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 37.3 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2 touchdowns against CAR, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Caleb Williams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Hurts was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Caleb Williams was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Hurts played 16 games for PHI and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He completed 294 of 454 passes for 3224 yards, 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 105 times for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Hurts, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 54 of 54 snaps, 13 of 27 passes for 110 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 5 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 66 of 70 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 185 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 40 yards, 19.4 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts, Week 15 of 2025 against LV: 52 of 69 snaps, 12 of 15 passes for 175 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 39 yards, 22.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 20 of 33 passes for 212 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards, 17.6 PPR points.

Caleb Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 66 of 66 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 330 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 18 yards, 23.0 PPR points.

Caleb Williams, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 34 passes for 250 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards, 21.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Caleb Williams scored 37.3 PPR points and Jalen Hurts scored 24.7.

The call was right: Caleb Williams outscored Jalen Hurts by 12.5.

Caleb Williams finished 28.9 points above the 8.4 the props implied.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards, 37.3 PPR points.

Caleb Williams finished as the week's QB1 in PPR scoring.

Jalen Hurts finished 21.8 points above the 3.0 the props implied.

Jalen Hurts, Week 1 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 46 yards, 24.7 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts finished as the week's QB8 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Dak Prescott.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Jayden Daniels.
• Start Brock Purdy over Caleb Williams.
• Start Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams.
• Start Caleb Williams over Jared Goff.