Start Jalen Hurts or Dak Prescott? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Jalen Hurts over Dak Prescott in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project Jalen Hurts at 11.4 points and Dak Prescott at -1.0, a gap of 12.4. Drafters take Jalen Hurts at ADP 73 and Dak Prescott at 69. Market coverage on Jalen Hurts is 65 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply -1.0 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 33 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 11.4 fantasy points for Jalen Hurts, with 65 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Jalen Hurts 12.4 points ahead of Dak Prescott on the books.

Week 1 matchups

Dak Prescott and DAL visit NYG on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

NYG allowed 15.4 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 14th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 175 yards and 2 touchdowns against NYG, with an interception.

Jalen Hurts and PHI host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

WAS allowed 24.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 203 yards and 3 touchdowns against WAS, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Jalen Hurts has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dak Prescott was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Jalen Hurts was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 7 of 11 passes for 70 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for -1 yards, 0.7 PPR points.

Dak Prescott, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 92 of 92 snaps, 19 of 37 passes for 307 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 24 yards, 22.7 PPR points.

Dak Prescott, Week 16 of 2025 against LAC: 53 of 58 snaps, 21 of 30 passes for 244 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 14 yards, 19.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Jalen Hurts played 16 games for PHI and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He completed 294 of 454 passes for 3224 yards, 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 105 times for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Hurts, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 54 of 54 snaps, 13 of 27 passes for 110 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 5 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 66 of 70 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 185 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 40 yards, 19.4 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts, Week 15 of 2025 against LV: 52 of 69 snaps, 12 of 15 passes for 175 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 39 yards, 22.9 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Jalen Hurts scored 24.7 PPR points and Dak Prescott scored 15.4.

The call was right: Jalen Hurts outscored Dak Prescott by 9.3.

Jalen Hurts finished 13.4 points above the 11.4 the props implied.

Jalen Hurts, Week 1 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 46 yards, 24.7 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts finished as the week's QB8 in PPR scoring.

Dak Prescott finished 16.4 points above the -1.0 the props implied.

Dak Prescott, Week 1 against NYG: 58 of 58 snaps, 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards, 15.4 PPR points.

Dak Prescott finished as the week's QB19 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams.
• Start Dak Prescott over Drake Maye.
• Start Dak Prescott over Jayden Daniels.
• Start Brock Purdy over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Caleb Williams over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Jayden Daniels.