Chase Brown or Justice Hill: who should I start in Week 5?

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Chase Brown: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 10th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Justice Hill: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 171st overall on the rest of his evidence.

What the player markets price

The market has Chase Brown at 18.4 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 11 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's price needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has Justice Hill at 3.5 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a running back's price needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Chase Brown's price is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Chase Brown has been on the field for 73 percent of CIN snaps, taken 72 percent of the carries, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 37 third down targets, had 3 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against HOU he carried 20 times for 80 yards, caught 3 of 5 targets for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against PIT he carried 13 times for 61 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against JAX he carried 9 times for 10 yards, caught 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Justice Hill has been on the field for 41 percent of BAL snaps, taken 11 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 25 third down targets, had 0 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.5 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against NO he carried 2 times for 6 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against DAL he carried 5 times for 33 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against TEN he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Chase Brown was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Chase Brown scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 10.1 a game between them.

Chase Brown finished RB7 that year and Justice Hill RB60.

Chase Brown had 214 more carries than Justice Hill, 232 to 18.

Chase Brown had 48 more catches than Justice Hill, 69 to 21.

This season Chase Brown holds the bigger snap share, 73 percent against 41 percent.

This season Chase Brown holds the bigger share of the carries, 72 percent against 11 percent.

Byes and availability

Chase Brown is off in Week 6. No bye is listed for Justice Hill.