Start Terrance Ferguson or Chig Okonkwo? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Terrance Ferguson over Chig Okonkwo
Wrong: 0.0 to 3.6- Books imply
- 1.2
- fantasy pts
- SF D vs TE
- 5.1
- 4th fewest to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 51%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
- PHI D vs TE
- 6.9
- 7th fewest to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 56%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 10%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.6
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Terrance Ferguson over Chig Okonkwo in Week 1.
Terrance Ferguson is priced by the books at 1.2 projected points. Chig Okonkwo has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Terrance Ferguson at ADP 207 and Chig Okonkwo at 216. Market coverage on Terrance Ferguson is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 1.2 fantasy points for Terrance Ferguson, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Chig Okonkwo in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Terrance Ferguson and LAR host SF on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.
SF allowed 5.1 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and no touchdowns against SF.
Chig Okonkwo and WAS visit PHI.
PHI allowed 6.9 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 29 yards and no touchdowns against PHI.
By points allowed to the position, Chig Okonkwo has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Terrance Ferguson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Chig Okonkwo was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Terrance Ferguson played 14 games for LAR and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.
He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 191 air yards.
He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Terrance Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 32 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.4 PPR points.
Terrance Ferguson, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 70 of 92 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.3 PPR points.
Terrance Ferguson, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 56 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1.6 PPR points.
In 2025, Chig Okonkwo played 17 games for TEN and scored 124.0 PPR points, 7.3 a game, finishing TE21.
He caught 56 of 79 targets for 560 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 218 air yards.
He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chig Okonkwo, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 5 targets and 2 catches for 2 yards, 2.2 PPR points.
Chig Okonkwo, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 38 of 74 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.5 PPR points.
Chig Okonkwo, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 33 of 73 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 44 yards, 1 touchdown, 16.4 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Terrance Ferguson scored 0.0 PPR points and Chig Okonkwo scored 3.6.
The call was wrong: Chig Okonkwo outscored Terrance Ferguson by 3.6.
Terrance Ferguson finished 1.2 points below the 1.2 the props implied.
Terrance Ferguson, Week 1 against SF: 31 of 61 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Chig Okonkwo, Week 1 against PHI: 39 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.
Chig Okonkwo finished as the week's TE36 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
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