Start Terrance Ferguson or Dalton Kincaid? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Dalton Kincaid over Terrance Ferguson in Week 1.

Terrance Ferguson is priced by the books at 2.3 projected points and Dalton Kincaid is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Dalton Kincaid at ADP 157 and Terrance Ferguson at 199.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Dalton Kincaid in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 2.3 fantasy points for Terrance Ferguson, with 40 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit HOU.

HOU allowed 19.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 137 yards and no touchdowns against HOU.

Terrance Ferguson and LAR host SF on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.

SF allowed 5.1 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and no touchdowns against SF.

By points allowed to the position, Dalton Kincaid has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Terrance Ferguson was listed as questionable when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 3 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards, 7.8 PPR points.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 16 of 2025 against CLE: 19 of 50 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 15 of 2025 against NE: 25 of 70 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards, 6.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Terrance Ferguson played 14 games for LAR and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.

He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 191 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 32 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.4 PPR points.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 70 of 92 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.3 PPR points.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 56 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1.6 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Dalton Kincaid scored 18.0 PPR points and Terrance Ferguson scored 0.0.

The call was right: Dalton Kincaid outscored Terrance Ferguson by 18.0.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 1 against HOU: 42 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 130 yards, 18.0 PPR points.

Dalton Kincaid finished as the week's TE5 in PPR scoring.

Terrance Ferguson finished 2.3 points below the 2.3 the props implied.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 1 against SF: 31 of 61 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Dalton Kincaid over Brenton Strange.
• Start Dallas Goedert over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Dalton Kincaid over Hunter Henry.
• Start Brenton Strange over Terrance Ferguson.
• Start Terrance Ferguson over Chig Okonkwo.
• Start Terrance Ferguson over Dalton Schultz.