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Start Brenton Strange or Terrance Ferguson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Brenton Strange over Terrance Ferguson

Right: 10.3 to 0.0
Start

Brenton Strange

TE · JAX · vs CLE

CLE D vs TE
12.2
16th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
68%
Week 1
Target share
14%
Week 1
Scored
10.3
PPR pts
Sit

Terrance Ferguson

TE · LAR · vs SF

Books imply
1.2
fantasy pts
SF D vs TE
5.1
4th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
51%
Week 1
Target share
4%
Week 1
Scored
0.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Brenton Strange over Terrance Ferguson in Week 1.

Terrance Ferguson is priced by the books at 1.2 projected points and Brenton Strange is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Brenton Strange at ADP 187 and Terrance Ferguson at 207.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Brenton Strange in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 1.2 fantasy points for Terrance Ferguson, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Brenton Strange and JAX host CLE.

CLE allowed 12.2 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 32 yards and a touchdown against CLE.

Terrance Ferguson and LAR host SF on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.

SF allowed 5.1 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and no touchdowns against SF.

By points allowed to the position, Brenton Strange has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brenton Strange was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Terrance Ferguson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brenton Strange played 12 games for JAX and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brenton Strange, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 6 targets and 6 catches for 52 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.2 PPR points.

Brenton Strange, Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 56 of 69 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 54 yards, 8.4 PPR points.

Brenton Strange, Week 16 of 2025 against DEN: 52 of 70 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 39 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Terrance Ferguson played 14 games for LAR and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.

He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 191 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 32 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.4 PPR points.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 70 of 92 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.3 PPR points.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 56 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1.6 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Brenton Strange scored 10.3 PPR points and Terrance Ferguson scored 0.0.

The call was right: Brenton Strange outscored Terrance Ferguson by 10.3.

Brenton Strange, Week 1 against CLE: 39 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown, 10.3 PPR points.

Brenton Strange finished as the week's TE15 in PPR scoring.

Terrance Ferguson finished 1.2 points below the 1.2 the props implied.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 1 against SF: 31 of 61 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 1 calls

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

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