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Start Dalton Schultz or Terrance Ferguson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Terrance Ferguson over Dalton Schultz

Wrong: 0.0 to 7.5
Start

Terrance Ferguson

TE · LAR · vs SF · questionable

Books imply
2.6
fantasy pts
SF D vs TE
5.1
4th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
51%
Week 1
Target share
4%
Week 1
Scored
0.0
PPR pts
Sit

Dalton Schultz

TE · HOU · vs BUF

BUF D vs TE
14.4
13th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
66%
Week 1
Target share
22%
Week 1
Scored
7.5
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Terrance Ferguson over Dalton Schultz in Week 1.

Terrance Ferguson is priced by the books at 2.6 projected points. Dalton Schultz has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Terrance Ferguson at ADP 209 and Dalton Schultz at 221. Market coverage on Terrance Ferguson is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 2.6 fantasy points for Terrance Ferguson, with 40 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Dalton Schultz in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Terrance Ferguson and LAR host SF on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.

SF allowed 5.1 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and no touchdowns against SF.

Dalton Schultz and HOU host BUF.

BUF allowed 14.4 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 13th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 64 yards and no touchdowns against BUF.

By points allowed to the position, Dalton Schultz has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Terrance Ferguson was listed as questionable when the call was made.

Dalton Schultz was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Terrance Ferguson played 14 games for LAR and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.

He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 191 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 32 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.4 PPR points.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 70 of 92 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.3 PPR points.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 56 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1.6 PPR points.

In 2025, Dalton Schultz played 17 games for HOU and scored 177.7 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE10.

He caught 82 of 106 targets for 777 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 419 air yards.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dalton Schultz, Week 18 of 2025 against IND: 4 targets and 4 catches for 73 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Dalton Schultz, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 51 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 4.9 PPR points.

Dalton Schultz, Week 16 of 2025 against LV: 46 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.5 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Terrance Ferguson scored 0.0 PPR points and Dalton Schultz scored 7.5.

The call was wrong: Dalton Schultz outscored Terrance Ferguson by 7.5.

Terrance Ferguson finished 2.6 points below the 2.6 the props implied.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 1 against SF: 31 of 61 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Dalton Schultz, Week 1 against BUF: 52 of 79 snaps, 8 targets and 4 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Dalton Schultz finished as the week's TE21 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE18 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
157
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

TE21 · LAR · bye 11

2025 vs anytime td line 3-11

Overall rank
172
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board15
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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