Start Chris Godwin Jr. or Michael Pittman Jr.? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Michael Pittman Jr.
Wrong: 8.3 to 8.8- Books imply
- 4.5
- fantasy pts
- CIN D vs WR
- 25.8
- 13th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 86%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 15%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.3
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 2.1
- fantasy pts
- ATL D vs WR
- 22.4
- 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 88%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 8%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Michael Pittman Jr. in Week 1.
De-vigged player props project Chris Godwin Jr. at 4.5 points and Michael Pittman Jr. at 2.1, a gap of 2.4. Drafters take Chris Godwin Jr. at ADP 77 and Michael Pittman Jr. at 74. Market coverage on Chris Godwin Jr. is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 2.1 fantasy points for Michael Pittman Jr., with 33 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 4.6 fantasy points for Chris Godwin Jr., with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
That puts Chris Godwin Jr. 2.4 points ahead of Michael Pittman Jr. on the books.
Week 1 matchups
Michael Pittman Jr. and PIT host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
ATL allowed 22.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 124 yards and no touchdowns against ATL.
Chris Godwin Jr. and TB visit CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CIN allowed 25.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 139 yards and no touchdowns against CIN.
By points allowed to the position, Chris Godwin Jr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Michael Pittman Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Chris Godwin Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Michael Pittman Jr. played 17 games for IND and scored 202.4 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR18.
He caught 80 of 111 targets for 784 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 525 air yards.
He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 4 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards, 3.1 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 49 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 56 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards, 7.2 PPR points.
In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.
He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.
He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Chris Godwin Jr. scored 8.3 PPR points and Michael Pittman Jr. scored 8.8.
The call was wrong: Michael Pittman Jr. outscored Chris Godwin Jr. by 0.5.
Chris Godwin Jr. finished 3.8 points above the 4.6 the props implied.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 1 against CIN: 49 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards, 8.3 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr. finished as the week's WR47 in PPR scoring.
Michael Pittman Jr. finished 6.7 points above the 2.1 the props implied.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 1 against ATL: 59 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 58 yards, 8.8 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr. finished as the week's WR44 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR13 · TB · bye 10
2025 vs rec yds line 3-6
- Overall rank
- 73
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR20 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rec yds line 5-12
- Overall rank
- 83
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board10
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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