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Start Chris Godwin Jr. or Michael Wilson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Michael Wilson over Chris Godwin Jr.

Right: 10.6 to 8.3
Start

Michael Wilson

WR · ARI · at LAC

LAC D vs WR
30.4
14th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
85%
Week 1
Target share
19%
Week 1
Scored
10.6
PPR pts
Sit

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR · TB · at CIN

Books imply
2.2
fantasy pts
CIN D vs WR
25.8
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
86%
Week 1
Target share
15%
Week 1
Scored
8.3
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Michael Wilson over Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 1.

Chris Godwin Jr. is priced by the books at 2.2 projected points and Michael Wilson is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Michael Wilson at ADP 76 and Chris Godwin Jr. at 77.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Michael Wilson in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 2.2 fantasy points for Chris Godwin Jr., with 33 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Michael Wilson and ARI visit LAC.

LAC allowed 30.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 164 yards and no touchdowns against LAC.

Chris Godwin Jr. and TB visit CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 25.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 139 yards and no touchdowns against CIN.

By points allowed to the position, Michael Wilson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Michael Wilson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Chris Godwin Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Michael Wilson, Week 18 of 2025 against LAR: 8 targets and 5 catches for 99 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.9 PPR points.

Michael Wilson, Week 17 of 2025 against CIN: 49 of 57 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.9 PPR points.

Michael Wilson, Week 16 of 2025 against ATL: 49 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 52 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.

He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.

He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Michael Wilson scored 10.6 PPR points and Chris Godwin Jr. scored 8.3.

The call was right: Michael Wilson outscored Chris Godwin Jr. by 2.3.

Michael Wilson, Week 1 against LAC: 64 of 75 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards, 10.6 PPR points.

Michael Wilson finished as the week's WR31 in PPR scoring.

Chris Godwin Jr. finished 6.1 points above the 2.2 the props implied.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 1 against CIN: 49 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards, 8.3 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr. finished as the week's WR47 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR13 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 3-6

Overall rank
73
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR75 · ARI · bye 14

2025 vs catches line 8-9

Overall rank
195
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board122
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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