Start Chris Godwin Jr. or Quentin Johnston? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Quentin Johnston over Chris Godwin Jr.
Wrong: 3.7 to 8.3
- Books imply
- 10.0
- fantasy pts
- ARI D vs WR
- 27.9
- 16th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 78%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 22%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.7
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 4.8
- fantasy pts
- CIN D vs WR
- 25.8
- 13th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 86%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 15%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.3
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Quentin Johnston over Chris Godwin Jr. in Week 1.
De-vigged player props project Quentin Johnston at 10.0 points and Chris Godwin Jr. at 4.8, a gap of 5.2. Drafters take Quentin Johnston at ADP 91 and Chris Godwin Jr. at 79. Market coverage on Quentin Johnston is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 4.9 fantasy points for Chris Godwin Jr., with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 10.0 fantasy points for Quentin Johnston, with 33 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
That puts Quentin Johnston 5.2 points ahead of Chris Godwin Jr. on the books.
Week 1 matchups
Chris Godwin Jr. and TB visit CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CIN allowed 25.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 139 yards and no touchdowns against CIN.
Quentin Johnston and LAC host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
ARI allowed 27.9 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 119 yards and a touchdown against ARI.
By points allowed to the position, Quentin Johnston has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Chris Godwin Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Quentin Johnston was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.
He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.
He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.
In 2025, Quentin Johnston played 14 games for LAC and scored 171.2 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR34.
He caught 51 of 85 targets for 735 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 514 air yards.
He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Quentin Johnston, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 47 of 63 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 98 yards, 14.8 PPR points.
Quentin Johnston, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 37 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 104 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.4 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Quentin Johnston scored 3.7 PPR points and Chris Godwin Jr. scored 8.3.
The call was wrong: Chris Godwin Jr. outscored Quentin Johnston by 4.6.
Quentin Johnston finished 6.3 points below the 10.0 the props implied.
Quentin Johnston, Week 1 against ARI: 43 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards, 3.7 PPR points.
Quentin Johnston finished as the week's WR82 in PPR scoring.
Chris Godwin Jr. finished 3.5 points above the 4.9 the props implied.
Chris Godwin Jr., Week 1 against CIN: 49 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards, 8.3 PPR points.
Chris Godwin Jr. finished as the week's WR47 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR13 · TB · bye 10
2025 vs rec yds line 3-6
- Overall rank
- 74
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR59 · LAC · bye 7
2025 vs rec yds line 4-10
- Overall rank
- 164
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board90
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 8
- Board size244 draftable players
Drafting soon? Use the free live draft assistant
It reranks the board after every pick and shows who is falling past ADP at your slot. No sign in, nothing to install.
Open the draft assistant