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Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Isiah Pacheco? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Isiah Pacheco

Right: 2.3 to 0.0
Start

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · JAX · vs CLE

Books imply
2.8
fantasy pts
CLE D vs RB
16.3
11th fewest to RBs (2026)
Scored
2.3
PPR pts
Sit

Isiah Pacheco

RB · DET · vs NO · inactive

NO D vs RB
36.4
5th most to RBs (2026)
Scored
0.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Isiah Pacheco in Week 1.

Isiah Pacheco is listed inactive on our news wire, so this is not a close call: start Chris Rodriguez Jr.. Drafters take Chris Rodriguez Jr. at ADP 177 and Isiah Pacheco at 179. Market coverage on Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 2.8 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Isiah Pacheco in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 16.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 121 yards and no touchdowns against CLE and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Isiah Pacheco and DET host NO.

NO allowed 36.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO and caught passes for 41 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Isiah Pacheco has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chris Rodriguez Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Isiah Pacheco was listed as inactive when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Isiah Pacheco played 13 games for KC and scored 87.3 PPR points, 6.7 a game, finishing RB56.

He ran 118 times for 462 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 19 of 26 targets for 101 yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Isiah Pacheco, Week 17 of 2025 against DEN: 15 of 43 snaps, 9 carries for 32 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 3.2 PPR points.

Isiah Pacheco, Week 16 of 2025 against TEN: 33 of 45 snaps, 8 carries for 34 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 41 yards, 13.5 PPR points.

Isiah Pacheco, Week 15 of 2025 against LAC: 28 of 61 snaps, 11 carries for 21 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Chris Rodriguez Jr. scored 2.3 PPR points and Isiah Pacheco scored 0.0.

The call was right: Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscored Isiah Pacheco by 2.3.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished 0.5 points below the 2.8 the props implied.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 23 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.3 PPR points.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished as the week's RB62 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB43 · JAX · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 6-7

Overall rank
167
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

RB56 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs rush yds line 2-11

Overall rank
227
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board60
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 10 and tier 12
  • Board size244 draftable players

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